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Week 2 · Sunday Sep 20 · Final

BrownsatBuccaneers

FinalCLE 23, TB 19Browns by 4
SpreadTB -8.5Browns covered
Total41.5went over, 42 points
OpenedTB -6.5moved 2 points by kickoff

The passing game. Expect the Buccaneers to find nowhere to throw.

Sunday: Buccaneers threw for 182 yards and 1 touchdown.

The model's reads, Over 41.5: it won.

The depth charts as they stand today.

Browns pass defense, 6th, against a passing game ranked 30th.

Longer bar, better unit.

Browns with the ball

Browns offenseBuccaneers defense
17th
Passing
10th
29th
Run game
3rd
30th
Pass rush
29th
30th
Third down
4th
25th
Big plays
4th
4th
Turnovers
8th
25th
Red zone
10th

Buccaneers with the ball

Buccaneers offenseBrowns defense
30th
Passing
6th
5th
Run game
17th
24th
Pass rush
4th
20th
Third down
16th
22nd
Big plays
24th
27th
Turnovers
14th
25th
Red zone
12th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.

Browns scored 23 against a team total of 16.5: over.

Browns scored 23 against a team total of 16.5: over. the spread and total, split.

Buccaneers scored 19 against a team total of 25: under. the spread and total, split.

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Browns after losing by 14 or more in the first four weeks with a head coach in his first 17 games
43-58
this game200020052010201520202025
43 covered58 did notevery game since 1999, 43%; since 2021 13-11

The last time the Browns were here, Sep 19, 1999: lost to the Titans by 17 as a 16-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 101 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Buccaneers.

Searched this week: 1,401 spread situations and 79 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.01 on the spread and 3.21 on the total.

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Nothing was on the official card for this game.