Bucky Irving

Tampa Bay Buccaneers·#7UNDERPAID

Pos RBHt 5'10"Wt 195 lbExp 2 yrCollege Oregon

Updated September 21, 2026

RB rankings →

Model Score

84.5 MODEL

2024

89.8

2025

84.5

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 1 games

Rush Yds

Rush TD

Rec

Rec Yds

Total TD

22.3

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

0.444

EPA / rush

Rush yds over exp

0.00

Efficiency

0.00s

Time to line

Draft & College

Round 4, pick 125 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 2024

Oregon (Pac-12)

Taken

#125

where he actually went

Our college model

#96

among RB in our college data

In college · 2022-2023 · 24 games

2,052 rush yds, 13 TD, 6.5 yds/carry, 27 rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Comps

College career

his college career vs theirs

Damien Martinez81%Bo Jackson80%Shock Linwood80%

STM Take

The 2025 #36 (tier 8) is one of the steepest year-over-year drops on the board, from #4 (tier 1) in 2024. Wk 4's 25.5 PPR shows the early-season player was still there, but the Wk 13-18 stretch (16.1, 16.1, 8.1, 7.1, 8.3, 10.8) is a clear pattern of role compression and likely a nagging issue. The 2026 question is whether the 2024 ceiling returns or the 2025 grind is the new baseline.

Irving came out of Oregon as Tampa Bay's 4th-round pick (125th overall) in 2024 after transferring from Minnesota. He broke out as a rookie with 1,122 rushing yards on 5.4 yards per carry, finishing 2024 at STTM #4 in tier 1, one of the highest finishes ever by a 4th-round rookie back. At 5'9" and 195 pounds, he is undersized for an every-down role but plays with elite vision and contact balance. Tampa Bay leaned on him hard down the stretch of 2024 and made him their unquestioned lead back entering 2025.

Strengths

Rookie 1,122 rushing yards on 5.4 YPC plus #4 (tier 1) STTM finish in 2024 is one of the best rookie production lines of the past decade at the position.
Wk 4 2025's 25.5 PPR shows the explosive ceiling is intact when he is healthy and getting full workload. At 24 years old he still has prime years ahead.

Concerns

The collapse from #4 to #36 in one season is the steepest crash on the board. Six straight games under 11 PPR (Wk 13-18) suggests a sustained issue (injury, scheme change, or workload split) rather than variance.
His 5'9"/195 frame is undersized for a 280-touch workload, which is what 2024 demanded and 2025 may have reflected the cost of.

What to watch: Whether the 2026 carry count stays under 250 (a workload tax for his frame) and whether his yards-per-carry rebounds above the 4.5 threshold that collapsed in 2025.