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Week 2 · Thursday Sep 17 · Final

LionsatBills

FinalDET 31, BUF 41Bills by 10
SpreadBUF -5.5Bills covered
Total54.5went over, 72 points
OpenedBUF -3moved 2.5 points by kickoff

The passing game. Expect the Bills to attack through the air all day.

Sunday: Bills threw for 248 yards and 3 touchdowns.

The model's reads, Over 54.5: it won.

The depth charts as they stand today.

Bills passing game, 1st, against a pass defense ranked 27th.

Longer bar, better unit.

Lions with the ball

Lions offenseBills defense
12th
Passing
26th
6th
Run game
19th
21st
Pass rush
16th
22nd
Third down
26th
7th
Big plays
22nd
1st
Turnovers
24th
2nd
Red zone
26th

Bills with the ball

Bills offenseLions defense
1st
Passing
27th
7th
Run game
18th
10th
Pass rush
6th
3rd
Third down
30th
1st
Big plays
28th
20th
Turnovers
26th
5th
Red zone
30th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.

Lions scored 31 against a team total of 24.5: over.

Lions scored 31 against a team total of 24.5: over. the spread and total, split.

Bills scored 41 against a team total of 30: over. the spread and total, split.

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Lions off an overtime game on a short week
8-29
this game200020052010201520202025
8 covered29 did notevery game since 1999, 22%; since 2021 4-8

The last time the Lions were here, Thanksgiving 2002: lost to the Patriots by 8 as a 6-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 37 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Bills.

This week · Bills with an elite quarterback with a head coach in his first 17 games
137-178
this game200020052010201520202025
137 covered178 did notevery game since 1999, 43%; since 2021 17-33

The last time the Bills were here, Nov 25, 2001: lost to the Dolphins by 7 as a 5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 315 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Lions.

This week · Bills against a team on a short week with a head coach in his first 17 games
40-56
this game200020052010201520202025
40 covered56 did notevery game since 1999, 42%; since 2021 10-12

The last time the Bills were here, Dec 3, 2009: lost to the Jets by 6 as a 3.5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 96 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Lions.

This week · The total on Thursday with a total of 48 or higher with two elite quarterbacks
11-14
this game200020052010201520202025
11 went over14 stayed underevery game since 1999, 44%; since 2021 6-6

Inside the luck line: 25 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.

Searched this week: 1,401 spread situations and 79 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.01 on the spread and 3.21 on the total.

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Nothing was on the official card for this game.