Kaiir Elam
Kansas City ChiefsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 14 games
Draft & College
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Three straight tier 8 STTM finishes for a 23rd overall 1st-round pick puts Elam in the worst negative draft-slot-vs-outcome class at the CB position. The Florida SEC 23rd overall draft pedigree established expectations that the NFL chapter has not matched. The 2026 question is whether Elam crosses into tier 6-7 territory with Tennessee or whether the structural bust trajectory closes the chapter.
Elam came out of Florida as the Buffalo Bills' 1st-round pick (23rd overall) in 2022 and was widely considered a draft bust through three Bills seasons before signing with the Tennessee Titans in 2025. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#88) rookie, tier 8 (#103) in 2024, and tier 8 (#97) in 2025.
Strengths
- Florida SEC 23rd overall draft pedigree plus four years of NFL development gives him basic college foundation.
- Change of scenery to the Titans gives him the structural environment for potential late-bloomer development.
Concerns
- Three straight tier 8 STTM finishes for a 23rd overall pick puts him in the worst negative draft-slot-vs-outcome class.
- Tennessee's broader defensive identity transition compresses the structural support around Elam.
What to watch: Whether Elam crosses into tier 7 (top 55) in 2026 with the Titans or whether the structural bust trajectory closes the chapter.