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2010 Week 4 · 49ers at Falcons

Falcons vs 49ers, 2010 Week 4: down 1, 1:22 left, three timeouts, 1st and 10 at your own 7.

What really happened

Mike Smith was calling it for the Falcons. His first call: Matt Ryan's pass to Brian Finneran fell incomplete. The real drive ended in a made field goal. The Falcons won 16-14 over the 49ers.

The plays that swung it

1. Q4 1:12

   Matt Ryan hit H. Douglas for 17 yards.

   +16 points of win chance

2. Q4 0:57

   Matt Ryan hit Roddy White for 20 yards.

   +16 points of win chance

3. Q4 0:06

   M. Bryant's 43-yard field goal was good.

   +25 points of win chance

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.

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