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2011 Week 15 · Lions at Raiders

Raiders vs Lions, 2011 Week 15: down 1, 35 seconds left, two timeouts, 1st and 10 at your own 16.

What really happened

Hue Jackson was calling it for the Raiders. His first call: Carson Palmer hit Kevin Boss for 13 yards. The real drive ended in a missed field goal. The Raiders lost 28-27 to the Lions.

The plays that swung it

1. Q4 0:21

   Carson Palmer was sacked by Cliff Avril for a loss of 3.

   -21 points of win chance

2. Q4 0:04

   Carson Palmer hit T. Houshmandzadeh for 6 yards.

   +8 points of win chance

3. Q4 0:04

   S. Janikowski's 65-yard field goal was blocked.

   -28 points of win chance

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.

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