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2016 Week 1 · Dolphins at Seahawks

Seahawks vs Dolphins, 2016 Week 1: down 4, 4:08 left, 1st and 10 at your own 25.

What really happened

Pete Carroll was calling it for the Seahawks. His first call: Russell Wilson's pass to Luke Willson fell incomplete. The real drive ended in a touchdown. The Seahawks won 12-10 over the Dolphins.

The plays that swung it

1. Q4 2:08

   Russell Wilson hit Doug Baldwin for 22 yards.

   +29 points of win chance

2. Q4 1:09

   Russell Wilson hit Doug Baldwin for 9 yards.

   +16 points of win chance

3. Q4 0:35

   Russell Wilson hit Doug Baldwin for a 2-yard touchdown.

   +13 points of win chance

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.

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