Games › Redo › What Lost It

Week 7, 2026 · Final

Mike Vrabel's Patriots lost 30-24 to the Bears; these three plays cost the most.

1. Q2 3:32 · 1st & 10 at the CHI 15

   Drake Maye's pass to Eli Raridon was intercepted by D'Marco Jackson.

   -10 points of win chanceWin chance 34% to 24%Redo this play

2. Q2 0:21 · 3rd & 17 at the NE 24

   Caleb Williams hit Luther Burden III for a 24-yard touchdown.

   -9 points of win chanceWin chance 16% to 7%Redo this play

3. Q2 2:21 · 2nd & 11 at the CHI 30

   Caleb Williams hit Luther Burden III for 22 yards, with a roughing the passer penalty on Gabe Jacas.

   -8 points of win chanceWin chance 25% to 16%Redo this play

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win. Each play shows how far it moved.

See it from the Bears side · Every team this week

Other Patriots weeks

• Week 10, 2025
• Week 5, 2026