| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 1.0 | A jump from 54.9% to 72.3% run share makes Gibbs the clearest bell-cow case in the 2026 player pool at age 23. |
| 2 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 7.0 | Elite-tier run offense, 74% projected run share, and a 41.2% spike rate make Taylor the safest RB2 on the board. |
| 3 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 11.0 | Elite efficiency meets a tier-4 run offense and a thin QB room, making Achane's 306-point 2025 baseline easier to trust than his 50% projected run share suggests. |
| 4 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 2.0 | A 77.5% projected run share and 323 carries make Bijan the safest bell-cow in the draft, even as a slight target-share dip clouds the ceiling. |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 4.0 | The market drafts him five picks ahead of us because 332 points is hard to argue with, but we see a smaller slice of a crowded tree. |
| 6 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 3.0 | A 31.4% target share in 2025 and a tier-1 passing offense upgrade make Chase the most volume-certain WR1 on the board. |
| 7 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 8.0 | Three straight WR3 finishes, a 97th-percentile target share, and a tier-1 offense make ARSB the steadiest non-RB floor in the top 10. |
| 8 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 25.0 | At 31 with a 60.6% run share last year, Henry projects for expanded volume in Baltimore's tier-1 run offense, but age creates real ceiling risk at ADP 25. |
| 9 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 10.0 | Hundredth percentile in yards per game and a 50% spike rate, with a shrinking target share the only thing keeping him out of the top five. |
| 10 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 5.0 | A 363-point 2025 season and 72% spike rate make CMC the safest elite pick, but the SF offense tiers weak in both QB situation and run game for 2026. |
| 11 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 6.0 | A 33.5% target share in a tier-3 pass offense produced a WR2 finish in 2025, but the QB room now caps how far that repeats. |
| 12 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 29.0 | Jacobs projects a massive run-share jump to 78.0% in 2026, but a 19th-percentile EPA rank and tier-3 run offense raise real questions about the ceiling. |
| 13 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 13.0 | A 63.8% projected run share in a tier-8 run offense creates a real ceiling question, but 243 points last year proves Brown can produce anyway. |
| 14 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 16.0 | Barkley ran for 2,000-plus yards in 2025 and a rising 66.2% run share projects even more volume in 2026, but the ceiling math is tighter than the ADP suggests. |
| 15 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 30.0 | Twelve picks of value on a back with a 91st percentile yards-per-game mark, though a 16.7% spike rate is exactly why he is cheap. |
| 16 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 39.0 | Elite target share, elite-tier QB, but a tier-3 pass offense and a 23.5% spike rate leave the ceiling narrower than his ADP suggests. |
| 17 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 18.0 | Allen's 14 rushing TDs and 391 points in 2025 make him the single most valuable QB in best-ball formats, and the projection barely budges. |
| 18 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 14.0 | A 97th-percentile YPG producer with 140-plus projected targets and a tier-2 passing offense, Lamb is the safest WR1 floor at his price. |
| 19 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 15.0 | Hampton posted 226 fantasy points as a rookie on a weak run-offense team; the path to growth runs through volume consolidation, not a scheme upgrade. |
| 20 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 22.0 | A new alpha target in a tier-2 QB situation, Brown projects 132 targets and a 224-point ceiling that his 2025 Philadelphia finish already validated. |
| 21 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 26.0 | A 96th-percentile YPG receiver who posts elite volume numbers despite a tier-5 pass offense and a QB situation that keeps his ceiling narrower than his raw production suggests. |
| 22 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 28.0 | Williams posted a 95th-percentile EPA mark in 2025 yet his projected run share dips to 49.6%, making the volume question the only thing standing between him and RB1 production. |
| 23 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 21.0 | Walker arrives in KC with a projected 48% run share and Patrick Mahomes upside, but a tier-7 run offense and 11.8% spike rate cap the ceiling hard. |
| 24 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 12.0 | A 5.9% career spike-week rate inside a tier-8 quarterback situation, which is why we sit eighteen picks behind where the market drafts him. |
| 25 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 45.0 | The pass offense jumped from tier-3 to tier-1, but an 18.8% target share keeps Higgins firmly in WR2 territory behind Ja'Marr Chase. |
| 26 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 17.0 | The TE1 lead by a wide margin on targets and scoring, but a collapsing QB situation drags the ceiling down hard in 2026. |
| 27 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 33.0 | A 27% target share and 258 fantasy points in 2025 make Rice the clearest WR1 argument in Kansas City, but a tier-3 pass offense and steep ADP demand scrutiny. |
| 28 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 20.0 | A 30.1% target share in a tier-6 pass offense means elite volume with a ceiling that never quite opens up. |
| 29 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 37.0 | Egbuka jumps from a 23.5% to a projected 30.8% target share in a pass offense that climbed from tier-5 to tier-2 in one offseason. |
| 30 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 23.0 | Pickens moved to Dallas and slots into a tier-2 passing offense behind CeeDee Lamb, projecting 116 targets at a 94th-percentile EPA mark with a 258 ceiling. |
| 31 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 27.0 | Elite target volume in a tier-7 passing offense means Olave's 26.5% share is doing heavy lifting with a shaky QB room and a 237.9 ceiling that feels like the realistic peak. |
| 32 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 32.0 | Hall projects for 72.9% run share in a shrinking offense, making him an RB2 dependent almost entirely on volume over efficiency. |
| 33 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 64.0 | Hurts projects 341 points on dual-threat volume, a step up from his 326-point 2025 despite a pass offense that grades tier-4. |
| 34 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 35.0 | A.J. Brown's departure hands Smith the clear WR1 role, but a tier-4 pass offense and 25% target share cap how far the arrow points up. |
| 35 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 31.0 | A 23-year-old workhorse projecting 47.5% run share in a tier-2 run offense, but a shrinking target tree and a bottom-tier QB situation cap the ceiling hard. |
| 36 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 24.0 | A consensus top-3 rookie RB with RB1 upside, but a bottom-tier run offense and crowded backfield cap his 2026 floor hard. |
| 37 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 63.0 | A tier-1 passing offense and 33.3% spike rate are real, but a projected target share drop from 23.5% to 17.2% is a serious drag on a 33-year-old WR. |
| 38 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 106.0 | A tier-1 pass offense and 536 projected attempts make Purdy a legitimate QB1, but a 159 floor and 30% spike rate keep the ceiling debate alive. |
| 39 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 54.0 | Swift projects 53% run share in a tier-2 run offense, but a step-down from 228 actual points in 2025 makes the case harder to love at this ADP. |
| 40 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 9.0 | Jeanty ran for 219.6 fantasy points as a rookie but faces a tier-8 QB situation and run offense that cap how high this can go. |
| 41 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 53.0 | Maye finished QB4 in 2025 on 353 points, and a tier-1 pass offense sliding to tier-3 means the 2026 projection dips slightly, but a true alpha WR1 in A.J. Brown and 492 projected attempts keep the ceiling intact. |
| 42 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 58.0 | Elite YAC and 91st-percentile YPG mask a flat 18% target share that limits his floor in a crowded Detroit tree. |
| 43 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 65.0 | Target share jumps from 23.6% to 29.9% as Caleb Williams' sophomore season and a thinned receiver room give Odunze his first real shot at true WR1 volume. |
| 44 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 41.0 | Lamar Jackson projects 40 more fantasy points than his 2025 actual in a pass offense that just upgraded from tier-4 to tier-3, and his 30.8% spike rate makes him a best-ball weapon at any price. |
| 45 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 50.0 | A 25.6% projected target share and elite YAC ability make McConkey the most volume-secure WR2 in a tier-4 passing offense you'd rather avoid. |
| 46 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 61.0 | Daniels took a step forward from 281.96 points in 2025 to a 325.5 projection in 2026, but a tier-6 pass offense keeps the ceiling at 383.7 and the floor uncomfortably low at 163.5. |
| 47 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 46.0 | A 29.9% target share at age 22 is elite production; a tier-7 passing offense projecting 181 targets is the tax you pay to own it. |
| 48 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 85.0 | Dart finished QB7 in actual points in 2025 and projects to repeat that finish on 410 attempts with 9 rushing TDs already baked into last year's line. |
| 49 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 70.0 | Watson's 92nd-percentile EPA and 20.8% projected target share make him a legitimate WR1, but a 91-point floor demands trust in a 26-year-old with durability questions. |
| 50 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 36.0 | Moore arrives in Buffalo as the alpha WR the offense has lacked, but a shrinking projected target share and a 39th-percentile EPA profile make the ADP a tough sell. |
| 51 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 38.0 | Judkins runs a 66% share in a bottom-tier offense, and that contradiction is exactly where the value lives or dies. |
| 52 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 77.0 | A 92nd-percentile EPA rate and 98th-percentile YAC over expected at age 25 make Kraft the most efficient TE2 on the board. |
| 53 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 71.0 | Warren's 55% run share produced a 209-point 2025, but a projected dip to 49% run share and a tier-6 QB situation make the 2026 case lean heavily on efficiency over volume. |
| 54 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 51.0 | Burrow steps from a tier-3 pass offense in 2025 to a tier-1 unit in 2026, and 550 projected attempts with a healthy arm back the upgrade. |
| 55 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 49.0 | A pre-FA trade brought Montgomery to Houston, but a tier-6 run offense and 31% projected run share make him a volume-challenged RB2 at best. |
| 56 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 62.0 | A tier-1 passing offense in San Francisco masks a shrinking 17.4% projected target share for a 32-year-old WR1 with a 77.6 floor. |
| 57 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 57.0 | A tier-5 passing offense caps the ceiling, but Waddle's 22.3% target share and elite YPG percentile make the floor surprisingly durable at this ADP. |
| 58 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 109.0 | Mahomes posted 341 actual points in 2025 but the model projects a modest step back to 313, and the pass offense tier jump from tier-5 to tier-3 may not fully offset a deeper target tree. |
| 59 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | 102.0 | A 22.7% target share in a tier-4 passing offense is a tough ceiling to get excited about at an ADP of 102. |
| 60 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAX | 67.0 | A 23-year-old WR2 on a pass offense that slid from tier-2 to tier-4, Thomas projects 107 targets but faces a real ceiling tax from a crowded target tree. |
| 61 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 42.0 | McMillan owns a 26.8% target share in a tier-7 passing offense, and his ADP already prices in upside the situation cannot deliver. |
| 62 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 43.0 | Elite separation (96th percentile) and above-average YAC ability are real, but 14.6% projected target share in a tier-3 passing offense caps the ceiling hard at ADP 43. |
| 63 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 72.0 | Caleb Williams finished QB10 in 2025 with 317 points, and a 557-attempt projection gives him a real path back to that number despite a tier-5 QB situation. |
| 64 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 60.0 | Elite route runner, 87th-percentile EPA, but a tier-6 passing offense and a 10% spike rate make 115 targets feel more like a ceiling than a floor. |
| 65 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 73.0 | Stevenson's run share climbs to 36.2% in a tier-2 run offense, but a shrinking target share and a 14th-percentile EPA rank keep the ceiling honest. |
| 66 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 19.0 | A 24.1% target share at TE ranks in the 97th percentile, but a tier-8 QB situation is a real ceiling tax on a 171-point projection. |
| 67 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 90.0 | Pierce's 95th-percentile EPA and a 22.1% projected target share look elite, but a tier-4 pass offense and a shaky QB room cap the floor hard. |
| 68 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | 99.0 | A 22-year-old rookie WR2 with 101 projected targets in a thin New Orleans passing tree, but a tier-7 pass offense caps every ceiling number. |
| 69 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 47.0 | Elite target volume (99th-percentile share) meets a tier-8 QB situation, making Wilson a ceiling-capped volume play at a premium ADP of 47. |
| 70 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 118.0 | Elite separation at the 98th percentile powers a projected 86-target role in a pass offense that just jumped to tier-2, yet the 0% spike rate is a real best-ball tax. |
| 71 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 104.0 | A tier-1 passing offense with 570 projected attempts and a 38.9% spike rate makes Stafford a legitimate QB1 well below his actual value at ADP 104. |
| 72 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 76.0 | Lawrence finished QB12 in actual 2025 scoring but a pass offense tier drop to tier-4 clouds whether he can repeat that production in 2026. |
| 73 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 91.0 | Elite efficiency at the 98th percentile in rush yards over expected, but a below-average QB situation and thin projected volume (212 carries) leave the ceiling narrower than the ADP implies. |
| 74 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 81.0 | Sutton's target share slips from 21.6% to 18.7% in a tier-5 pass offense, but a 225 ceiling keeps him relevant in best-ball formats. |
| 75 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 79.0 | A tier-2 run offense with 29% projected run share and D'Andre Swift above him on the depth chart makes Monangai a volume-dependent gamble at his current ADP. |
| 76 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 93.0 | A 21% target share in a tier-6 passing offense caps the projection at 161 points, but 98th-percentile YAC over expected keeps the ceiling honest. |
| 77 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 74.0 | A tier-2 passing offense, 579 projected attempts, and a receiver room that upgraded at WR2 make Prescott a reliable QB1 anchor at an ADP that reflects the right price. |
| 78 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 125.0 | A 517-attempt workload arriving in a tier-7 passing offense is the entire tension in this Kyler Murray pick. |
| 79 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 119.0 | Tampa Bay's pass offense jumped two tiers between 2025 and 2026, and Mayfield is the direct beneficiary with 542 projected attempts. |
| 80 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 48.0 | Henderson's 90th-percentile EPA and elite rushing efficiency make him a legitimate RB2 upside play, but a 33.9% projected run share in a crowded backfield keeps the floor thin. |
| 81 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 101.0 | Three straight tier-1 passing seasons and 564 projected attempts make Goff the most reliable QB2 anchor in best ball. |
| 82 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 96.0 | Mason projects for 49.6% run share in a bottom-tier run offense, which makes the 214.7 ceiling harder to trust than the ADP implies. |
| 83 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 56.0 | A 23-year-old TE1 projecting 126 targets and a 23.6% share in a thin passing tree, but a tier-4 offense and ADP creep are real taxes. |
| 84 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 105.0 | A tier-1 pass offense and 97th-percentile EPA rate make Kittle compelling, but a shrinking target share and age-32 curve create real projection risk at his ADP. |
| 85 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 78.0 | A 23-year-old WR1 with 79th-percentile EPA and a projected 19.1% target share in a tier-5 passing offense that keeps a lid on the ceiling. |
| 86 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 44.0 | Irving finished RB2 in PPR last season but the model sees a sharp run-share drop from 62% to 51% in a bottom-tier run offense, and the ADP hasn't caught up. |
| 87 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 59.0 | A 21-year-old TE1 projecting 120 targets at 23.4% share, but a tier-7 pass offense is the ceiling tax you cannot ignore. |
| 88 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 84.0 | A tier-1 passing offense feeds LaPorta 77 projected targets at age 24, but a shrinking target share makes the floor-to-ceiling math tight. |
| 89 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 83.0 | A 28.5% target share last year shrinks to 22.4% in 2026 inside a tier-8 pass offense, and the math gets uncomfortable fast. |
| 90 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 69.0 | Dowdle's 51.2% run share in 2025 collapses to a projected 31.3% in 2026, and the Pittsburgh QB room makes the passing volume nearly irrelevant. |
| 91 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 97.0 | A tier-5 pass offense caps Nix's ceiling, but 570 projected attempts and a 208 floor make him a viable streaming QB2 at his ADP. |
| 92 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 112.0 | A.J. Brown's departure opens a WR2 role in Philadelphia for this first-round rookie, but a tier-4 pass offense and thin TD projection make the ceiling debate real. |
| 93 | Travis Etienne | RB | NO | 34.0 | A 53% run share in Jacksonville last year means almost nothing in New Orleans, where a 28.5% projected run share and a bottom-tier QB situation make this a volume cliff. |
| 94 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 111.0 | Johnston posted 193 fantasy points in 2025, but a shrinking target share and a tier-4 pass offense make a repeat difficult to bank on. |
| 95 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 92.0 | A 23-year-old slot with elite YAC over expected (92nd percentile) and best-ball upside, now working against a shrinking target share in a downgraded passing offense. |
| 96 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 98.0 | A tier-1 run offense with a crowded backfield: White projects 21.6% run share and a 71 floor that demands caution at his ADP. |
| 97 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 82.0 | A 93-target projection in a tier-5 pass offense with shrinking target share and a 19th-percentile separation grade makes Wilson a tough sell at his ADP. |
| 98 | Michael Pittman | WR | PIT | 110.0 | A bottom-tier pass offense, a shrinking target share, and a projected TD rate near zero make Pittman's 161-point 2025 finish look like a ceiling, not a floor. |
| 99 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 87.0 | A tier-8 passing offense with a shrinking target share projection makes this rookie receiver a ceiling-dependent dart throw at current ADP. |
| 100 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 122.0 | Elite separation at the 91st percentile but a 0% spike rate and thin target share make Worthy a best-ball puzzle worth solving at ADP 122. |
| 101 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 117.0 | A slot-volume WR2 in a tier-4 pass offense, Downs projects for 108 targets and a 20.1% share, but a 0% spike rate and weak QB room cap the ceiling hard. |
| 102 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 66.0 | Harvey scored 185 points in 2025 on a 32% run share, but the 2026 projection drops him to 17% as J.K. Dobbins takes over the backfield. |
| 103 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 141.0 | Elite separation and elite YAC-over-expected mask a TD projection near zero and a ceiling that depends on surviving a crowded new-look Buffalo passing tree. |
| 104 | De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | 214.0 | A 22-year-old rookie stepping into a tier-1 passing offense at WR2, but a shrinking target share projection keeps the ceiling narrow. |
| 105 | Kaelon Black | RB | SF | 231.0 | A rookie back on a crowded SF depth chart with a 20% run share projection and a 222-point ceiling that makes the late-ADP price worth testing. |
| 106 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 134.0 | A 22-year-old WR3 in a tier-2 passing offense whose 93rd-percentile YAC over expected hints at a breakout a 15.9% projected target share could finally unlock. |
| 107 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 55.0 | A first-round rookie inheriting a vacated starting role, but a tier-4 run offense and just 25% projected run share cap the ceiling hard. |
| 108 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 89.0 | A tier-2 passing offense upgrade props up a 29-year-old WR2 whose 97th-percentile YAC ability keeps the floor alive despite a shrinking 15.8% projected target share. |
| 109 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 158.0 | Jones posted 300.9 fantasy points in 2025, but a 7.7% spike rate and tier-4 pass offense make the ceiling math hard to trust at his ADP. |
| 110 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 123.0 | A 29.5% projected run share and a tier-6 run offense make Marks a volume bet with a very narrow margin for error. |
| 111 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 135.0 | Darnold steps into Seattle with a 276-point projection and 473 pass attempts lined up, but a tier-4 QB situation keeps the ceiling capped at 331.5. |
| 112 | Jordan Whittington | WR | LAR | | Elite separation (97th percentile) and a tier-1 passing offense make Whittington a volume-starved WR worth tracking, but his 11th-percentile target share is the hill standing between him and relevance. |
| 113 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 86.0 | Herbert projects to dip from his 306-point 2025 finish inside a tier-4 passing offense, making him a late-round dart rather than a locked-in QB1. |
| 114 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 114.0 | A tier-1 run offense, a 46% projected run share, and elite rush yards over expected make Croskey-Merritt a compelling late-round flier despite a crowded backfield. |
| 115 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 124.0 | A 31-year-old back projected for just 31.7% run share in a tier-6 run offense; the 53.8 floor tells the real story. |
| 116 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 95.0 | A 32% run share in a tier-3 run offense with a 5.6% spike rate and Kyren Williams above him makes Corum a tough sell at ADP 95. |
| 117 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 166.0 | A WR3 role in a now tier-7 passing offense with a 19% target share that's projected to shrink makes this a volume story with real ceiling risk. |
| 118 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 116.0 | A 20% target share in a tier-7 passing offense makes Addison's 99-target ceiling harder to reach than ADP implies. |
| 119 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 115.0 | Andrews projects for a 19.5% target share with Lamar Jackson in a pass offense that jumped from tier-6 to tier-3, but a 76-point floor and thin efficiency marks demand realistic expectations. |
| 120 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 94.0 | At 36 with a shrinking 18% projected target share, Kelce's 153-point 2025 season is unlikely to repeat in a tier-3 passing offense. |
| 121 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 40.0 | A 21-year-old rookie TE1 who posted a 98th-percentile EPA mark in 2025 is now being priced like a locked-in top-5 tight end at ADP 40. |
| 122 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 127.0 | Doubs signed a four-year deal to catch passes from Drake Maye, but a shrinking target share and a thin separation profile make the WR2 label do a lot of heavy lifting. |
| 123 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 181.0 | Elite separation (94th percentile) and a target share nearly doubling to 20.6% are doing a lot of work against a tier-4 pass offense and a 0% spike rate. |
| 124 | Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | 188.0 | A rookie WR2 in a tier-4 passing offense, Douglas projects for 12.6% target share at an ADP that barely prices in a pulse. |
| 125 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | 232.0 | A rookie WR3 in a tier-6 passing offense with a 50-point floor, but an ADP of 232 makes the ceiling math worth a look. |
| 126 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 68.0 | Projecting 106 targets at age 25 in a bottom-tier passing offense, Pitts is a volume trap dressed up as a discount. |
| 127 | Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | 129.0 | Shaheed steps into a cleaner WR2 role in Seattle with a tier-3 pass offense upgrade, but a 5.6% spike rate and 18th-percentile EPA cap the ceiling hard. |
| 128 | Kenneth Gainwell | RB | TB | 103.0 | Gainwell's 2025 role erodes sharply in 2026, with run share dropping from 28% to 23.4% and a bottom-tier rushing offense dimming the ceiling. |
| 129 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 52.0 | Tuten's ADP of 52 assumes a lead role he hasn't earned, backed by a 19th-percentile run grade and a backfield that just added Chris Rodriguez Jr. |
| 130 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 126.0 | A tier-2 pass offense upgrade fuels a 267-point projection, but a 25% spike rate and narrow floor make Love a boom-or-bust QB2 bet. |
| 131 | Ricky Pearsall | WR | SF | 108.0 | A tier-1 passing offense can't save a WR4 whose projected target share craters from 17.8% to 6.7%. |
| 132 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 136.0 | A tier-7 passing offense and a 48.5 floor make Concepcion a swing-for-the-ceiling dart, not a reliable WR2 anchor. |
| 133 | Travis Hunter | WR | JAX | 196.0 | Hunter's 19.9% target share from 2025 compresses to a projected 13.2% in 2026, and the pass offense drops from tier-2 to tier-4. |
| 134 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 128.0 | Goedert finished TE4 in 2025 with 175 actual points, but a restructured target tree and a tier-4 pass offense push the 2026 projection down to 129. |
| 135 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | 240.0 | A rookie WR3 in a tier-1 QB situation, Lane projects a 12.8% target share with a 193.5 ceiling that far outpaces his late-round ADP of 240. |
| 136 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 75.0 | Pollard's run share drops from 64% to 49% with Nicholas Singleton and Tyjae Spears cutting into a thin backfield in a tier-8 run offense. |
| 137 | Jonathan Brooks | RB | CAR | 100.0 | A partial 2025 season leaves the 22-year-old with only 30.5% run share, but a projected jump to 37.9% in 2026 makes the upside real if the backfield consolidates. |
| 138 | Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | 208.0 | An 80th percentile efficiency mark on 25 carries, attached to the best offense in football, with a 0% career spike rate. |
| 139 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 113.0 | Elite EPA percentile masks a shrinking 13.4% target share and a TD projection so low it nearly reads as zero. |
| 140 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 88.0 | A 46.5% projected run share in a tier-8 run offense with 18th-percentile EPA and a 48-point floor tells the whole story. |
| 141 | Bo Melton | WR | GB | | Melton posted a 161-point 2025 but faces a crowded Green Bay receiver room that projects him as the clear WR4, with a ceiling under 180 points. |
| 142 | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | LAC | 153.0 | At 22, Gadsden is the LAC TE1 in a tier-4 passing offense, projecting 73 targets with a 64.5 floor and 150.7 ceiling that barely justifies the ADP. |
| 143 | Justice Hill | RB | BAL | 190.0 | A tier-1 run offense with a thin backfield depth chart makes Hill's 119-point projection quietly useful as a late-round RB3. |
| 144 | Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | 131.0 | With a 22.4% projected run share and a tier-8 QB situation, Spears is a volume-capped RB3 unlikely to match even his modest 2025 floor. |
| 145 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 185.0 | Tucker leads a tier-8 passing offense at 17.5% target share with a 5.9% spike rate and a ceiling that depends heavily on a QB situation nobody trusts. |
| 146 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 165.0 | Solid production metrics mask a shrinking target share and a tier-5 passing offense that limits the ceiling for a TE pushing 30. |
| 147 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 187.0 | A 22-year-old rookie WR3 in Washington projects 57 targets at 12.0% share, with a 192.6 ceiling that rewards patience in best ball. |
| 148 | Isaac Guerendo | RB | SF | | Elite rush yards over expected (98th percentile) but a tier-5 run offense and Christian McCaffrey ahead of him cap the upside hard. |
| 149 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | 183.0 | A fourth-round rookie who projects just 31.9 carries and 9.3% run share in a tier-8 run offense, but ADP 183 prices in almost nothing. |
| 150 | Jaylen Wright | RB | MIA | 213.0 | |
| 151 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 144.0 | A tier-5 pass offense caps Stroud's ceiling hard, but 510 projected attempts and a 6.7% spike rate give him streaming upside at his ADP. |
| 152 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 163.0 | A tier-7 passing offense, a shrinking 17.8% target share, and zero career spike weeks make Jeudy a hard sell at any price. |
| 153 | Zachariah Branch | WR | ATL | 198.0 | A 22-year-old rookie in a tier-6 passing offense with a 40-point floor and 192-point ceiling, Branch is a pure ceiling swing at a deep-board price. |
| 154 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 169.0 | A rookie WR3 in a tier-7 passing offense, Boston's 39.5 floor and 0.047 projected TD rate make him a high-variance dart throw at best. |
| 155 | Jayden Higgins | WR | HOU | 146.0 | A 23-year-old WR2 in a tier-5 passing offense, Higgins projects 77 targets on a modest 14.4% share with a 55-to-173 floor-to-ceiling spread that demands caution at current price. |
| 156 | Troy Franklin | WR | DEN | 249.0 | A 22-year-old with a 140.6-point 2025 finish sitting well past pick 200 in a crowded Denver target tree that is about to get more crowded. |
| 157 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 195.0 | A 23-year-old with 85 projected targets sits in a tier-8 passing offense with a 6th-percentile EPA rank and a 54-point floor. |
| 158 | Tank Dell | WR | HOU | 202.0 | A 25-year-old WR3 returning after a partial 2025 season, projecting 111 points in a tier-5 pass offense with a 188.7 ceiling worth chasing at ADP 202. |
| 159 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 170.0 | A rookie WR3 on a tier-8 passing offense with a shrinking projected target share and a 37.9 floor that demands best-ball patience. |
| 160 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 107.0 | Ferguson's 16.9% target share from 2025 shrinks to 14.8% projected in 2026, and the TD model is nearly flat, so you're paying for a repeat that probably won't come. |
| 161 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 138.0 | The pass-offense tier dropped from tier-1 to tier-3 and a crowded target tree squeezes Henry's projected share from 18% to 14.3%, making the floor-to-ceiling math uncomfortable at his ADP. |
| 162 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 120.0 | Johnson posted 145 fantasy points as NO's TE1 in 2025, but a tier-7 pass offense and shrinking 15.5% target share make the 2026 projection look like a ceiling, not a floor. |
| 163 | Keaton Mitchell | RB | LAC | 149.0 | Mitchell's 170-point ceiling looks appealing at age 22, but a tier-5 run offense and a 6.3-point 2025 actuals make this a speculative dart at best. |
| 164 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 132.0 | Washington's TE1 in a tier-6 passing offense with elite YAC but a touchdown projection near zero and a narrow floor. |
| 165 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 152.0 | A 22-year-old rookie with a 217 ceiling but only 11% projected run share in a crowded four-back room. |
| 166 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 270.0 | A 23-year-old slot option projecting for 11.0% target share in a tier-5 passing offense, Noel's ADP sits well below his projected output. |
| 167 | Andrei Iosivas | WR | CIN | | A 10% target share in a tier-1 passing offense sounds better than a 0.0% spike rate and 19th-percentile separation suggest. |
| 168 | Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 164.0 | A 0th percentile yards-per-game mark and a 13.7% run share, which makes an ADP of 161 still too early. |
| 169 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 161.0 | Brissett starts 2026 as ARI's QB1 with a tier-6 QB situation and a 92.6 floor that makes him a risky best-ball anchor at any price. |
| 170 | Pat Bryant | WR | DEN | 271.0 | A 23-year-old WR4 in a tier-5 passing offense with a 0% spike rate and shrinking target share, Bryant is a deep-late flier with almost no floor. |
| 171 | Dameon Pierce | RB | PHI | | |
| 172 | Sean Tucker | RB | TB | 197.0 | Buccaneers backup at 18% run share. Tier-6 run-O with Irving dominating — pure handcuff with no path to weekly relevance unless Irving misses time. |
| 173 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 145.0 | A shrinking 15.6% target share in a tier-7 passing offense leaves Hockenson projecting near a TE2 baseline with a floor that barely clears 49 points. |
| 174 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | 179.0 | A 22-year-old rookie receiver buried in a tier-7 passing offense, projecting just 28 targets but carrying ceiling upside worth the late-round price. |
| 175 | Adam Randall | RB | BAL | 252.0 | A fifth-round rookie behind a top-tier run offense, Randall projects just 32 carries but carries a 205-point ceiling at a late-round price. |
| 176 | Bam Knight | RB | ARI | | A 2nd percentile rush yards over expected mark on 38 carries, which is a deep contingency piece and nothing more than that. |
| 177 | Konata Mumpfield | WR | LAR | | |
| 178 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAX | 142.0 | Strange put up 134.6 actual points in 2025, but a shrinking target share and a pass offense sliding to tier-4 make the projection drop to 103 a real concern. |
| 179 | Raheim Sanders | RB | CLE | | |
| 180 | Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 162.0 | Elite efficiency metrics mask a shrinking 7.9% target share in a crowded Tampa receiver room, making the ceiling more mirage than reality. |
| 181 | AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 186.0 | A 23-year-old TE1 with 87th-percentile separation, Barner holds the top target share in Seattle but faces a shrinking projection and a tier-4 QB room. |
| 182 | Treylon Burks | WR | WAS | | A tier-6 pass offense, a 0.0% career spike rate, and bottom-5 efficiency marks make Burks a roster filler with almost no best-ball upside. |
| 183 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 180.0 | A tier-6 pass offense, shrinking target share, and a 6.2% spike rate make Freiermuth a tough sell at his current ADP despite elite YAC numbers. |
| 184 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 233.0 | Cowboys WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-1 pass-O with Dak. Within-team rank #4 — strong offense but no projected share given Lamb/Pickens dominance. |
| 185 | Simi Fehoko | WR | ARI | | |
| 186 | Devin Singletary | RB | NYG | 223.0 | Cam Skattebo's backfield leaves Singletary projecting just 55.6 carries and a 14.7% run share, shrinking from last year's 23.2%. |
| 187 | KaVontae Turpin | WR | DAL | | |
| 188 | Jerome Ford | RB | WAS | | |
| 189 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 150.0 | A rookie TE1 with a 15.0% spike rate and ADP value, but a tier-8 passing offense and a shrinking projected target share make the ceiling narrow. |
| 190 | Fernando Mendoza | QB | LV | 177.0 | A rookie QB1 in a tier-8 passing offense, Mendoza projects at 235.7 points with a ceiling that barely clears starter territory. |
| 191 | Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | 167.0 | Eagles backup at 14% run share. Tier-5 run-O with Barkley dominating lead — handcuff floor only with no weekly path unless Barkley misses extended time. |
| 192 | Greg Dortch | WR | DET | | Lions WR depth at 8% target share. Tier-2 pass-O. Within-team rank #3 — limited path with St. Brown/Williams/LaPorta above him on projected depth. |
| 193 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 147.0 | An 83rd-percentile EPA rate built on a 14.4% target share from a tier-7 passing offense is a ceiling, not a foundation. |
| 194 | Chris Bell | WR | MIA | 220.0 | A rookie WR3 in a tier-4 passing offense, Bell's 171.5 ceiling at ADP 220 makes him a cheap late-round dart. |
| 195 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 168.0 | A tier-6 QB situation at age 42 with a 5.9% spike rate and zero path to QB1 value in any format. |
| 196 | Cade Otton | TE | TB | 175.0 | Otton's target share is projected to slip from 17% to 13.1% even as Tampa's pass offense upgrades, making him a volume-capped TE2 at a TE1 price. |
| 197 | Josh Palmer | WR | BUF | | A tier-2 passing offense with a tier-1 QB sounds great until you see four mouths ahead of him on the target tree. |
| 198 | Braelon Allen | RB | NYJ | 184.0 | |
| 199 | Tyler Scott | WR | LAR | | |
| 200 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | 143.0 | A projected 48.8% run share looks like an upgrade, but a tier-5 run offense, a 0% spike rate, and a thin ceiling of 183.9 make this a tough sell at ADP 143. |
| 201 | Patrick Taylor | RB | SF | | Elite rush yards over expected (96th percentile) in a backfield that may hand him emergency volume, but a tier-5 run offense makes the floor genuinely fragile. |
| 202 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 156.0 | A tier-8 QB situation in a tier-7 passing offense: Young's 232-point projection barely budges from his 238-point 2025 actual, and the ceiling is the thinnest of any starting QB near this ADP. |
| 203 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | NE | 176.0 | Patriots WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-1 (projected) pass-O with Maye. Within-team rank #4 — elite young-QB context but room is crowded above him. |
| 204 | David Njoku | TE | LAC | 155.0 | A tight end joining a better offense at pick 212, with a 7th percentile efficiency mark and a 26.7 floor. |
| 205 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | 160.0 | Atlanta workhorse with 73% run share plus a meaningful 16% target share. Elite .59 spike rate at 24, coming off a full RB1 season. Weak QB tier caps ceiling slightly, volume still dominates. |
| 206 | Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | DEN | | |
| 207 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 130.0 | A 39% run share starter in 2025 who now projects at 34% with a crowded backfield above him and a 25-point floor that makes this ADP dangerous. |
| 208 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 255.0 | A target share falling to 12.7% at 22, in the best offense in football, with a 29th percentile separation mark the reason. |
| 209 | Mitchell Tinsley | WR | CIN | | |
| 210 | Colby Parkinson | TE | LAR | 263.0 | A tight end catching passes in a tier-1 passing offense, still sitting there at pick 215 where nothing costs anything. |
| 211 | Zavion Thomas | WR | CHI | | A 22-year-old rookie slotted third on the depth chart with a 166-point ceiling and almost no TD projection creates a pure lottery-ticket profile. |
| 212 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 257.0 | A 15.6% projected target share with Lamar Jackson at QB sounds appealing, but a 0.0% career spike rate and bottom-tier efficiency metrics make the ceiling hard to trust. |
| 213 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | | Chiefs WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-5 pass-O with Mahomes. Within-team rank #4 — depth only with Rice/Worthy/Hopkins competing for projected share. |
| 214 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 121.0 | |
| 215 | Tre Harris | WR | LAC | 221.0 | Chargers rookie WR at 6% target share. Tier-4 pass-O with Herbert. Within-team rank #4 — no projected path to weekly relevance with McConkey/Johnston above. |
| 216 | Sincere McCormick | RB | SF | | A depth back with elite rush efficiency (87th percentile yards over expected) buried behind Christian McCaffrey on a weak-tier offense with a 0% spike rate. |
| 217 | Seth McGowan | RB | IND | | A late-round handcuff behind Jonathan Taylor in a tier-1 run offense, with a 183-point ceiling that outpaces his near-zero VORP floor. |
| 218 | Trey Benson | RB | ARI | | A backfield crowded with Jeremiyah Love pushes Benson's projected run share down to 29.4% and his ceiling to a modest 181.5 points. |
| 219 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 226.0 | Catching passes from an elite quarterback at 30, with a 3rd percentile mark after the catch and a 98.8 ceiling. |
| 220 | Evan Engram | TE | DEN | 237.0 | A 92nd percentile separation tight end going at pick 220, with a 0% career spike rate as the obvious catch. |
| 221 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR | HOU | | |
| 222 | Roman Wilson | WR | PIT | | |
| 223 | Nicholas Singleton | RB | TEN | 193.0 | A fifth-round rookie in a bottom-tier run offense with 2.1% projected run share and a 28.9 floor that barely clears replacement level. |
| 224 | Jalen Tolbert | WR | MIA | 206.0 | Dolphins WR3 at 11% target share. Tier-1 (projected) pass-O with Tua. Within-team rank #3 — Hill/Waddle dominance limits weekly path. |
| 225 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 80.0 | A 13.5% target share from 2025 shrinks to 9.7% in 2026 inside a tier-7 pass offense built around a rookie QB, making Likely hard to trust at his current ADP. |
| 226 | Audric Estim<U+00E9> | RB | NO | | A 94th percentile rush yards over expected mark on 77 carries, in a five-man backfield with an 18.8 floor underneath him. |
| 227 | Xavier Legette | WR | CAR | | A 15% target share in a tier-7 passing offense with a 6.2% spike rate makes Legette a low-floor dart at best. |
| 228 | Jake Tonges | TE | SF | 216.0 | A tight end in a tier-1 passing offense at pick 250, with a 17.9 floor and 55 targets keeping expectations low. |
| 229 | Jaret Patterson | RB | LAC | | |
| 230 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 148.0 | Cardinals backup at 28% run share. Tier-3 run-O is decent but Conner / rookie Love share — pure handcuff/flex value with no weekly path. |
| 231 | Ted Hurst | WR | TB | 268.0 | A rookie wideout buried at WR4 in a tier-2 passing offense, Hurst's 163.8 ceiling makes him a worthwhile late-round lottery ticket at ADP 268. |
| 232 | Kimani Vidal | RB | LAC | 212.0 | Vidal's 47% run share in 2025 collapses to a projected 30% behind Omarion Hampton, making him a thin handcuff at a tier-5 run offense. |
| 233 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 172.0 | A 15th percentile separation mark and a 21.9 floor, with an ADP of 163 the only thing arguing for a tight end this thin. |
| 234 | Michael Carter | RB | TEN | | Eagles backup at 31% run share. Tier-8 run-O context, Barkley dominates — pure handcuff with no weekly relevance unless Barkley misses extended time. |
| 235 | Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | 256.0 | Bengals deep backup. Tier-7 run-O with Brown dominating — pure depth play with no projected weekly relevance. |
| 236 | Kaytron Allen | RB | WAS | 201.0 | A tier-1 run offense with a crowded backfield: Allen projects just 25 carries in 2026, making him a speculative stash at best. |
| 237 | Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 258.0 | |
| 238 | Tyler Goodson | RB | ATL | | |
| 239 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 241.0 | |
| 240 | Elijah Moore | WR | PHI | | |
| 241 | Cooper Kupp | WR | SEA | 224.0 | Seahawks veteran addition at 20% target share. Tier-3 pass-O with Darnold. Age-30 plus health history; .36 spike kept weekly ceiling alive but JSN dominates. |
| 242 | Elijah Mitchell | RB | PHI | | |
| 243 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 189.0 | A fifth-round rookie buried in the KC depth chart, Johnson projects just 30 carries but carries a 210.9 ceiling worth the late-round flier. |
| 244 | Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | DEN | | Broncos WR4 at 7% target share. Tier-4 pass-O with Nix. Within-team rank #4 — depth play only with no realistic path to weekly relevance. |
| 245 | Dyami Brown | WR | WAS | | Commanders WR5 at 6% target share. Tier-7 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — depth-only with no realistic weekly path. |
| 246 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 139.0 | A 16.8% projected run share and 6.9% target share at age 30 make Kamara a volume story that no longer has much volume. |
| 247 | Isaiah Davis | RB | NYJ | | |
| 248 | Malik Davis | RB | DAL | | Cowboys backup at 17% run share. Tier-3 run-O with Dak. Williams dominates lead — handcuff-only with no projected weekly relevance. |
| 249 | Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 133.0 | Seahawks change-of-pace back, 55% run share splitting with Walker. Tier-3 run-O is decent; pass-game role gives a PPR-stable floor with low weekly ceiling. |
| 250 | AJ Dillon | RB | CAR | | |
| 251 | Jaydon Blue | RB | DAL | 219.0 | |
| 252 | Jawhar Jordan | RB | HOU | | A 99th percentile rush yards over expected mark on 123 carries, with a 13.6 floor and no meaningful market price at all. |
| 253 | Max Klare | TE | LAR | | A second-round rookie tight end in a tier-1 passing offense, projected for 28 targets in a room already five deep. |
| 254 | Roschon Johnson | RB | CHI | | |
| 255 | Tyler Conklin | TE | DET | | |
| 256 | Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | ATL | | |
| 257 | Kendrick Law | WR | DET | | |
| 258 | Tyrell Shavers | WR | BUF | | Bills WR6 at 3% target share. Tier-2 pass-O with Allen. Within-team rank #6 — elite QB context wasted on a depth player with no realistic weekly path. |
| 259 | Darius Slayton | WR | NYG | | |
| 260 | Colbie Young | WR | CIN | | |
| 261 | Marquise Brown | WR | PHI | 229.0 | |
| 262 | Kyle Williams | WR | NE | | Patriots WR6 at 3% target share. Tier-1 (projected) pass-O with Maye. Within-team rank #6 — pure depth, no realistic weekly path. |
| 263 | Kendrick Bourne | WR | ARI | | |
| 264 | Mack Hollins | WR | NE | | |
| 265 | Eli Heidenreich | RB | PIT | | |
| 266 | Terrell Jennings | RB | NE | | Patriots deep backup at 14% run share. Tier-1 (projected) offense doesn't help when role is minimal — depth-only ranking based on roster math. |
| 267 | Elic Ayomanor | WR | TEN | | Titans rookie WR at 13% target share. Tier-8 QB/pass-O is brutal — within-team rank #2 means share but the offensive environment cratters the projection. |
| 268 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 254.0 | |
| 269 | Jam Miller | RB | NE | | |
| 270 | Elijah Sarratt | WR | BAL | 266.0 | |
| 271 | Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 154.0 | |
| 272 | Skyler Bell | WR | BUF | 272.0 | |
| 273 | Christian Kirk | WR | SF | 227.0 | |
| 274 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | | Patriots WR4 at 6% target share. Tier-1 pass-O with Maye but within-team rank #5 means almost no projected share — pure depth play with no path to flex. |
| 275 | Brenen Thompson | WR | LAC | 244.0 | |
| 276 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | ATL | 203.0 | |
| 277 | Marlin Klein | TE | HOU | | A second-round rookie tight end with 29 targets, in a passing game sliding from tier-4 to tier-5 around him. |
| 278 | Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 273.0 | A tight end with 68 targets going at pick 239, whose 3rd percentile efficiency mark explains why nobody wants him. |
| 279 | Skyy Moore | WR | GB | | |
| 280 | KeAndre Lambert-Smith | WR | LAC | | Chargers WR5 rookie at 4% target share. Tier-4 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — pure depth, no projected weekly path even in best-case scenario. |
| 281 | Tez Johnson | WR | TB | | Buccaneers rookie WR depth at 6% target share. Tier-5 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — projection reflects no realistic path to weekly relevance. |
| 282 | Isiah Pacheco | RB | DET | 140.0 | |
| 283 | Kendre Miller | RB | NO | | |
| 284 | Demond Claiborne | RB | MIN | 225.0 | |
| 285 | Bub Means | WR | NO | | |
| 286 | Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | 159.0 | Titans WR3 at 11% target share. Tier-8 pass-O. ADP at 57 is heavily ahead — model fades hard on the situation and within-team rank #3. |
| 287 | Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | 269.0 | An 85th percentile separation tight end going at pick 275, with a 0% career spike rate as the obvious catch. |
| 288 | Nate Boerkircher | TE | JAX | | A second-round rookie tight end with 32 targets, fourth in a receiver room that already has too many mouths. |
| 289 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | | A 14.2 floor and 48 targets at 32, in an elite passing offense that has four other tight ends competing for the work. |
| 290 | Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | 194.0 | Lions WR4 rookie at 6% target share. Tier-1 pass-O with Goff. Within-team rank #4 — depth-only path; high-end offense doesn't reach this far down the depth chart. |
| 291 | Eli Stowers | TE | PHI | 200.0 | A second-round rookie tight end at pick 227, with 24 projected targets behind an established starter. |
| 292 | Emari Demercado | RB | KC | 253.0 | Chiefs deep backup at 15% run share. Tier-8 run-O context; depth-only ranking with no projected path to weekly relevance behind Pacheco/Walker/Hunt. |
| 293 | Isaiah Bond | WR | CLE | | |
| 294 | Ryan Miller | WR | NYG | | |
| 295 | Theo Johnson | TE | NYG | 245.0 | A tight end going at pick 271 on a projection of just 32 targets, which is about as cheap as the position gets. |
| 296 | Tutu Atwell | WR | MIA | 264.0 | |
| 297 | Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | 259.0 | A 21-year-old tight end going at pick 253, whose target share halved to 9.5% behind a first-round rookie. |
| 298 | Tim Jones | WR | JAX | | |
| 299 | Jack Bech | WR | LV | 267.0 | |
| 300 | Brashard Smith | RB | KC | | |
| 301 | Justin Watson | WR | HOU | | |
| 302 | Tommy Tremble | TE | CAR | | Forty-eight targets in the league's worst passing offense, with a 13th percentile separation mark and a 17th percentile yards-per-game figure. |
| 303 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | | |
| 304 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 151.0 | |
| 305 | Cyrus Allen | WR | KC | | |
| 306 | Quez Watkins | WR | PHI | | |
| 307 | Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | 236.0 | |
| 308 | CJ Daniels | WR | LAR | | |
| 309 | Deion Burks | WR | IND | | |
| 310 | Chris Brazzell II | WR | CAR | 242.0 | |
| 311 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 215.0 | |
| 312 | Kevin Austin Jr. | WR | NO | | |
| 313 | Ty Chandler | RB | NO | | |
| 314 | Xavier Smith | WR | LAR | | Rams WR3 at minimal projected share. Tier-1 pass-O with Stafford. Within-team rank #3 — strong offense but Nacua/Adams eat virtually all of the share. |
| 315 | Josh Cameron | WR | JAX | | |
| 316 | Davis Allen | TE | LAR | | |
| 317 | Cedric Tillman | WR | CLE | | |
| 318 | Johnny Wilson | WR | PHI | | |
| 319 | Will Kacmarek | TE | MIA | | A third-round rookie tight end with 14 projected targets, which is among the thinnest roles anywhere on this board. |
| 320 | Calvin Austin III | WR | NYG | | Giants WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-5 pass-O. Within-team rank #4 — Nabers/Slayton dominance limits Austin's role to deep-depth weekly path. |
| 321 | Darnell Washington | TE | PIT | 262.0 | |
| 322 | Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | MIA | | |
| 323 | Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 230.0 | |
| 324 | Noah Gray | TE | KC | | A 77th percentile separation mark undone by a 5th percentile efficiency figure, catching passes behind an established starter. |
| 325 | Ainias Smith | WR | CAR | | |
| 326 | CJ Williams | WR | JAX | | |
| 327 | Ray Davis | RB | BUF | 211.0 | |
| 328 | Brandon Johnson | WR | LV | | |
| 329 | Jaylin Lane | WR | WAS | | |
| 330 | DJ Giddens | RB | IND | 192.0 | |
| 331 | Ronnie Rivers | RB | LAR | | |
| 332 | Emmanuel Henderson Jr. | WR | SEA | | |
| 333 | Kaden Wetjen | WR | PIT | | |
| 334 | Austin Trammell | WR | JAX | | |
| 335 | Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | CAR | | |
| 336 | Anthony Smith | WR | DAL | | |
| 337 | Pierre Strong | RB | GB | | |
| 338 | Devin Neal | RB | NO | | |
| 339 | Ronnie Bell | WR | NO | | |
| 340 | Reggie Virgil | WR | ARI | | |
| 341 | Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | WR | IND | | |
| 342 | Elijah Arroyo | TE | SEA | 260.0 | A 0th percentile efficiency mark and 5th percentile separation, on 35 targets, which is as thin as any profile we rank. |
| 343 | Sam Roush | TE | CHI | | A third-round rookie tight end projected for zero targets, which makes this the thinnest profile anywhere on our board. |
| 344 | Eli Raridon | TE | NE | | A third-round rookie tight end projected for zero targets, behind an established starter in a tier-2 passing offense. |
| 345 | Josh Oliver | TE | MIN | | |
| 346 | Eric Gray | RB | NYG | | |
| 347 | Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 171.0 | |
| 348 | Ja'Lynn Polk | WR | NO | | |
| 349 | George Holani | RB | SEA | 209.0 | |
| 350 | Carson Steele | RB | PHI | | |
| 351 | Mecole Hardman | WR | BUF | | |
| 352 | David Sills | WR | TB | | |
| 353 | Austin Hooper | TE | ATL | | |
| 354 | Trey Palmer | WR | NO | | |
| 355 | Dylan Drummond | WR | ATL | | |
| 356 | Scott Miller | WR | CHI | | |
| 357 | Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | | |
| 358 | Lewis Bond | WR | HOU | | |
| 359 | Theo Wease Jr. | WR | MIA | | |
| 360 | Matthew Hibner | TE | BAL | | |
| 361 | Bryce Lance | WR | NO | | |
| 362 | Terrace Marshall Jr. | WR | MIA | | |
| 363 | Jalen Reagor | WR | MIA | | |
| 364 | Van Jefferson | WR | WAS | | |
| 365 | Jack Endries | TE | CIN | | |
| 366 | Nikko Remigio | WR | KC | | |
| 367 | Cedrick Wilson Jr. | WR | DET | | |
| 368 | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | DEN | | |
| 369 | John Metchie III | WR | CAR | | |
| 370 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | NYG | | |
| 371 | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | DAL | | |
| 372 | Luke Musgrave | TE | GB | | A 97th percentile separation mark alongside a 0th percentile figure after the catch, on 45 targets in a crowded room. |
| 373 | Mason Tipton | WR | NO | | Saints WR5 at 5% target share. Tier-6 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — pure depth play with no realistic path to weekly relevance. |
| 374 | Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | 218.0 | |
| 375 | Barion Brown | WR | NO | | |
| 376 | Brock Wright | TE | DET | | |
| 377 | Ashton Dulin | WR | IND | | |
| 378 | Isaiah Williams | WR | NYJ | | |
| 379 | K.J. Osborn | WR | TEN | | |
| 380 | Eric Saubert | TE | SEA | | |
| 381 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 178.0 | |
| 382 | Connor Heyward | TE | LV | | |
| 383 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | 207.0 | A 97th percentile mark after the catch paired with 0th percentile separation, which is the strangest profile on our entire board. |
| 384 | Xavier Gipson | WR | NYG | | |
| 385 | Josh Cuevas | TE | BAL | | |
| 386 | Tanner Hudson | TE | CIN | | |
| 387 | Oscar Delp | TE | NO | | |
| 388 | Darnell Mooney | WR | NYG | 235.0 | |
| 389 | Will Shipley | RB | PHI | | |
| 390 | Brevin Jordan | TE | HOU | | |
| 391 | David Moore | WR | CAR | | Bills WR3 at 12% target share. Tier-3 pass-O with Allen. Within-team rank #3 limits, .24 spike. Flex upside only — most target share goes to Shakir/Cooper. |
| 392 | Isaiah Hodgins | WR | NYG | | |
| 393 | Chimere Dike | WR | TEN | 246.0 | |
| 394 | Durham Smythe | TE | BAL | | |
| 395 | Malik Benson | WR | LV | | |
| 396 | Tim Patrick | WR | NYJ | | |
| 397 | Jonathan Mingo | WR | DAL | | |
| 398 | Noah Fant | TE | NO | | |
| 399 | Xavier Restrepo | WR | TEN | | |
| 400 | Luke Schoonmaker | TE | DAL | | |
| 401 | Odell Beckham Jr. | WR | NYG | | |
| 402 | Payne Durham | TE | TB | | |
| 403 | Daniel Bellinger | TE | TEN | | |
| 404 | Jalin Hyatt | WR | NYG | | |
| 405 | Bauer Sharp | TE | TB | | |
| 406 | Josh Whyle | TE | GB | | |
| 407 | Grant Calcaterra | TE | PHI | | |
| 408 | Tyler Johnson | WR | DAL | | Buccaneers rookie WR depth at 6% target share. Tier-5 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — projection reflects no realistic path to weekly relevance. |
| 409 | Jake Bobo | WR | SEA | | |
| 410 | Tanner Koziol | TE | JAX | | |
| 411 | Chris Brooks | RB | GB | 251.0 | |
| 412 | Justin Joly | TE | DEN | | |
| 413 | Jalen Brooks | WR | ARI | | |
| 414 | Max Bredeson | TE | MIN | | |
| 415 | Brevyn Spann-Ford | TE | DAL | | |
| 416 | Luke Farrell | TE | SF | | |
| 417 | Seydou Traore | TE | MIA | | |
| 418 | Ameer Abdullah | RB | JAX | | |
| 419 | Braxton Berrios | WR | NYG | | |
| 420 | Dallen Bentley | TE | DEN | | |
| 421 | Adam Trautman | TE | DEN | | |
| 422 | Britain Covey | WR | PHI | | |
| 423 | Brycen Tremayne | WR | CAR | | |
| 424 | Riley Nowakowski | TE | PIT | | |
| 425 | Shane Zylstra | TE | BUF | | |
| 426 | Lucas Krull | TE | DEN | | |
| 427 | Cole Turner | TE | MIA | | |
| 428 | Jeremy Ruckert | TE | NYJ | | |
| 429 | Elijah Higgins | TE | ARI | | |
| 430 | Joe Royer | TE | CLE | | |
| 431 | Foster Moreau | TE | HOU | | |
| 432 | Johnny Mundt | TE | PHI | | |
| 433 | Carsen Ryan | TE | CLE | | |
| 434 | John Bates | TE | WAS | | |
| 435 | Kylen Granson | TE | TEN | | |
| 436 | Will Mallory | TE | IND | | |
| 437 | James Conner | RB | ARI | 217.0 | Cardinals veteran returning from injury at minimal projected share. Tier-8 run-O. Age-30 plus injury history — handcuff floor only with no clear lead path. |
| 438 | Quinn Ewers | QB | MIA | | |
| 439 | Demarcus Robinson | WR | SF | | |
| 440 | Jaren Kanak | TE | TEN | | |
| 441 | Albert Okwuegbunam | TE | LV | | |
| 442 | Stone Smartt | TE | PHI | | |
| 443 | Harrison Bryant | TE | SEA | | |
| 444 | Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | WSH | | |
| 445 | Anthony Richardson | QB | IND | | |
| 446 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | GB | | |
| 447 | Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | | |
| 448 | Mac Jones | QB | SF | | |
| 449 | Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | | |
| 450 | Jake Browning | QB | TB | | |
| 451 | Marcus Mariota | QB | WAS | | |
| 452 | Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | | |
| 453 | Ty Simpson | QB | LAR | | |
| 454 | Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | | |
| 455 | Sam Howell | QB | DAL | | |
| 456 | Josh Johnson | QB | CIN | | |
| 457 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 205.0 | |
| 458 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 238.0 | |
| 459 | Easton Stick | QB | IND | | |
| 460 | Davis Mills | QB | HOU | | |
| 461 | Trey Lance | QB | LAC | | |
| 462 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | 250.0 | |
| 463 | Nick Mullens | QB | JAX | | |
| 464 | Tyson Bagent | QB | CHI | | |
| 465 | Dillon Gabriel | QB | CLE | | |
| 466 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 239.0 | |
| 467 | Tommy DeVito | QB | NE | | |
| 468 | Chris Oladokun | QB | KC | | |
| 469 | Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | | |
| 470 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | | |
| 471 | Brady Cook | QB | NYJ | | |
| 472 | Will Levis | QB | TEN | | |
| 473 | Drew Lock | QB | SEA | | |
| 474 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 137.0 | |
| 475 | Aidan O'Connell | QB | LV | | |
| 476 | Max Brosmer | QB | MIN | | |
| 477 | Zach Wilson | QB | NO | | |
| 478 | Garrett Nussmeier | QB | KC | | |
| 479 | Behren Morton | QB | NE | | |
| 480 | Kenny Pickett | QB | CAR | | |
| 481 | Carson Beck | QB | ARI | 265.0 | |
| 482 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | TEN | | |
| 483 | Drew Allar | QB | PIT | | |
| 484 | Trevor Siemian | QB | ATL | | |
| 485 | Cole Payton | QB | PHI | | |
| 486 | Riley Leonard | QB | IND | 261.0 | |
| 487 | Cade Klubnik | QB | NYJ | | |
| 488 | Taylen Green | QB | CLE | | |
| 489 | Bailey Zappe | QB | NYJ | | |
| 490 | Andy Dalton | QB | PHI | | |
| 491 | Jarrett Stidham | QB | DEN | | |
| 492 | Case Keenum | QB | CHI | | |
| 493 | Gardner Minshew | QB | ARI | | |
| 494 | Justin Fields | QB | KC | | Tier-8 pass-O reflects Chicago environment; 7 pass TDs + 4 rush TDs in limited 2024 starts. Rushing floor exists but volume cap kills the ceiling. |