FinalGB 20, NYJ 17Packers by 3
SpreadGB -3.5Jets covered
Total44.5stayed under, 37 points
OpenedGB -6moved 2.5 points by kickoff
The run game. Expect the Packers to give up on the run early.
Sunday: Packers ran for 63 yards on 18 carries.
The model's reads, Under 44.5: it won.
The depth charts as they stand today.
Jets run defense, 6th, against a run game ranked 30th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Packers with the ball
Packers offenseJets defense
13th
Passing19th
30th
Run game6th
25th
Pass rush18th
26th
Third down12th
12th
Big plays10th
8th
Turnovers31st
24th
Red zone8th
Jets with the ball
Jets offensePackers defense
20th
Passing7th
21st
Run game28th
29th
Pass rush13th
18th
Third down29th
19th
Big plays3rd
6th
Turnovers1st
32nd
Red zone23rd
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Packers scored 20 against a team total of 24: under.
Packers scored 20 against a team total of 24: under. the spread and total, split.
Jets scored 17 against a team total of 20.5: under. the spread and total, split.
Packers have gone under 8 of 11 on the road after a loss.
Packers have gone under 8 of 11 on the road after a losshit, 37 points
18 of 44 everywhere else, 2023-2026, LaFleur and Love · points to Under 44.5
Jets have covered 1 of the last 1 meetings
Last time, 2022 week 6: Jets 27, Packers 10, Jets covered.
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Packers after losing by 14 or more in the first four weeks with a head coach in year eight or later with the team
23-18
this game200020052010201520202025
23 covered18 did notevery game since 1999, 56%; since 2021 7-3
The last time the Packers were here, Sep 30, 2018: beat the Bills by 22 as a 8.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 41 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Packers.
Josh Jacobs has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.
Josh JacobsRB
Josh Jacobs has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown. 7 of 22 everywhere else, 2025.
Jordan LoveQBhit, 2 pass TD
Jordan Love has 6 of his last 9 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns. 14 of 28 everywhere else, 2025-2026.