Panthers passing game, 7th, against a pass defense ranked 17th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Panthers with the ball
Panthers offenseFalcons defense
7th
Passing
17th
10th
Run game
8th
19th
Pass rush
8th
21st
Third down
18th
5th
Big plays
17th
7th
Turnovers
32nd
8th
Red zone
19th
Falcons with the ball
Falcons offensePanthers defense
29th
Passing
22nd
8th
Run game
16th
7th
Pass rush
23rd
26th
Third down
19th
6th
Big plays
6th
30th
Turnovers
28th
4th
Red zone
29th
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Panthers scored 34 against a team total of 23: over.
Panthers scored 34 against a team total of 23: over. the spread and total, split.
Falcons scored 3 against a team total of 20.5: under. the spread and total, split.
Panthers have covered 9 of 12 in a division game after a loss.
Panthers have covered 9 of 12 in a division game after a losscovered
15 of 41 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2024 · points to Panthers -2.5
9 of 12in this spot
Panthers have covered 3 of the last 4 meetings
Last time, 2025 week 11: Panthers 30, Falcons 27, Panthers covered.
3-1against the spread
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Falcons in the first four weeks indoors with the worse head coach by two tiers
133-99
this game200020052010201520202025
133 covered99 did notevery game since 1999, 57%; since 2021 38-22
The last time the Falcons were here, Sep 24, 2000: lost to the STL by 21 as a 6.5-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 232 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Falcons.
This week · Panthers in a pick 'em after losing by 14 or more against a first-year head coach
54-76
this game200020052010201520202025
54 covered76 did notevery game since 1999, 42%; since 2021 18-19
The last time the Panthers were here, Oct 31, 1999: lost to the Falcons by 7 as a 2-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 130 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Falcons.
This week · Panthers in a pick 'em against a backup quarterback with the better head coach by two tiers
37-26
this game200020052010201520202025
37 covered26 did notevery game since 1999, 59%; since 2021 12-4
The last time the Panthers were here, Nov 6, 2005: beat the Buccaneers by 20 at pick 'em.
Inside the luck line: 63 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Panthers.
This week · The total in the first four weeks in a pick 'em with a backup quarterback on the field
35-27
this game200020052010201520202025
35 went over27 stayed underevery game since 1999, 56%; since 2021 8-7
Inside the luck line: 62 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the over.
Searched this week: 1,401 spread situations and 79 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.01 on the spread and 3.21 on the total.
Bijan Robinson has 9 of his last 10 games in division games with 100+ yards from scrimmage.
Bijan RobinsonRBmissed, 81 yds
Bijan Robinson has 9 of his last 10 games in division games with 100+ yards from scrimmage. 18 of 33 everywhere else, 2024-2025.
9 of 10last 10
Drake LondonWRhit, 51 rec yds
Drake London has 8 of his last 9 games at home with 50+ receiving yards. 19 of 34 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
8 of 9last 9
Tua TagovailoaQB
Tua Tagovailoa has 7 of his last 10 games in division games with 2+ passing touchdowns. 17 of 38 everywhere else, 2023-2025.
7 of 10last 10
3 more player trends
Tetairoa McMillanWRhit, 101 rec yds
Tetairoa McMillan has 4 of his last 6 games in division games with 50+ receiving yards. 8 of 15 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
4 of 6last 6
Bijan RobinsonRBmissed, 0 rush TD
Bijan Robinson has 5 of his last 7 games at home as an underdog with a rushing touchdown. 14 of 44 everywhere else, 2023-2025.
5 of 7last 7
Bijan RobinsonRBhit, 72 rush yds
Bijan Robinson has 8 of his last 10 games indoors with 50+ rushing yards. 13 of 19 everywhere else, 2025.
8 of 10last 10
No player line on this game was archived with a read.