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PlayerDrake London · WR, Atlanta Falcons, Model Score 86.2Be the Falcons GM

Drake London

Atlanta Falcons·#5
Pos WRHt 6'4"Wt 215 lbExp 4 yrCollege USC
Updated October 9, 2026
Compare Drake London WR rankings →

Model Score

86.2 MODEL
2022
82.6
2023
77.3
2024
93.0
2025
87.2
2026
86.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

London's three-year STTM climb (#54 → #18 → #9) is the cleanest year-over-year trajectory among 2022 first-round WR picks. The 2025 game log shows the boom-bust profile of a contested-catch X-receiver: 38.8 PPR Week 9, 1.4 PPR Week 17. The Penix-led offense finally gave him the target share his pre-draft tape promised.

London grew up in an interracial family in Moorpark, California, played football and basketball at Moorpark High, and won 2021 Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year at USC. Atlanta took him eighth overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. Career line is 309 catches for 3,961 yards and 22 TDs across four seasons, with an STTM climb from #54 in 2023 to #18 in 2024 to #9 tier 2 in 2025.

Strengths

  • Three-year climb from STTM #54 to #9; the developmental arc is finally connecting at age 24.
  • 6'4" 215 frame with a 24-PPR Week 10 and 38.8 PPR Week 9 shows the matchup-winning ceiling lives.

Concerns

  • Atlanta is now Michael Penix Jr.'s offense; the tier-8 rookie QB rank in 2025 caps the team-level upside.
  • Recent game log shows a 1.4 PPR Week 17; the boom-bust pattern is real and pace-of-play dependent.

What to watch: Whether Penix's year-two passing line jumps to tier-5 or better; London's volume scales with the QB rank.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Julio Jones ’1664%A.J. Green ’1559%Marques Colston ’1157%
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 5)
Andre Johnson ’0855%
Plays like
on-field production only
Brandon Aiyuk ’2374%Steve Smith ’0871%Roddy White ’0868%
Built likeTHIN DATA
measurables only, his size
Mack Hollins97%Dwayne Jarrett94%Malcolm Kelly94%
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his
Michael Floyd ’1278%Mike Williams ’1778%Jordy Nelson ’0876%

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 7 starters, 6 backups, 4 didn't stick.

Drake London Props This Weekvs BAL Sun Oct 11

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions5.5-138 DraftKings-155 BetMGM
Receiving yards81.5-112 DraftKings-112 DraftKings
Anytime TD+135 FanDuel

Best price across 9 books as of Thu Oct 8. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Drake's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Drake London Injury StatusNot listed

Drake London is not on the injury report as of Oct 8. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Drake London Stats This Season · 4 games

20
Rec
370
Rec Yds
0
Rec TD
25
Targets
92.5
Yds/Gm
14.3
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.382
EPA / target
3.6 yd
Avg separation
7.2 yd
Avg cushion
1.7
YAC over exp
73.3%
Catch %

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 8 · Atlanta Falcons · 2022
USC (Pac-12)
Taken
#8
where he actually went
Our college model
#11
among WR in our college data
In college · 2019-2021 · 23 games
152 rec, 2,093 yds, 15 TD, 13.8 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Drake London Fantasy Outlook

Drake London scored 57 PPR points, 14.3 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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