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Bijan Robinson

RB·Atlanta Falcons·#7·5'11"·214 lb·3rd year·Texas
Tier 1Round 1, pick 8 in 2023
Updated November 7, 2026
94.2
Model Score
Down from 96.0 last year
Trade value ·a late 1st

Bijan Robinson has 150 carries for 780 yards, 4 rushing touchdowns and 25 catches for 189 yards in 8 games for the Atlanta Falcons this season through Week 8, 19 PPR points a game (updated November 7, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 1.8 from last season.

809010094.22023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A three-down superstar whose usage finally matches his talent.

The case for

  • 2025 first-team All-Pro at age 23, the only RB under 25 on the current board with that recognition.
  • Three-down workload: he led ATL in both rushing and receiving usage out of the backfield, locking in the PPR floor.

The worry

  • Atlanta's pass-game efficiency caps red-zone touch volume; TD upside is limited until the passing attack normalizes.
  • 320-plus touch pace puts him at the historical edge of the RB workload cliff.

What to watch: Snap share in negative game scripts. If it holds above 70 percent when ATL trails, the RB1-overall conversation locks in early.

Full take and bio

Robinson at STTM #5 tier 2 in 2025 with first-team All-Pro recognition is the cleanest pure-talent case at the position outside Gibbs and Henry. The Atlanta usage finally caught up to the draft capital. The 2025 game log shows real peaks (39.9 PPR Wk 17, 29.8 PPR Wk 16) and the touch-share base supports a tier-1 ceiling in 2026.

Robinson was born in Tucson, Arizona, attended Salpointe Catholic, and played three years at Texas where he finished as the Longhorns' all-time per-game rushing leader. Atlanta took him eighth overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. He has since made two Pro Bowls and earned first-team All-Pro honors in 2025, the centerpiece of an Atlanta offense built around his three-down workload.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Chris Johnson, Emmitt Smith, Robert Smith. Built like: Travis Prentice, Rachaad White, Evan Hull. Coming out: Knowshon Moreno, Breece Hall, Chuba Hubbard.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 4 starters, 12 backups, 1 didn't stick.

Bijan Robinson Props This Weekvs CIN Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Rushing yards96.5-110 BetRivers-110 DraftKings
Carries19.5-105 DraftKings-121 DraftKings
Receptions3.5+124 FanDuel-124 DraftKings
Receiving yards25.5-113 DraftKings-111 DraftKings
Longest reception11.5-108 BetRivers-114 DraftKings
Longest rush19.5-116 DraftKings-111 DraftKings
Anytime TD-240 BetRivers

Best price across 9 books as of Fri Nov 6. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Bijan's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Bijan Robinson Injury StatusNot listed

Bijan Robinson is not on the injury report as of Nov 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rush Yds7801st
Rush TD413th
Rec256th
Rec Yds1899th
Total TD514th
Fantasy PPG19.07th
EPA / rush-0.02517th
Rush yds over exp1653rd
Efficiency3.74
Time to line2.74s

19 fantasy points a game, 152 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$10.0M
APY
$22.2M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$37.6M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$15.0M/yr
overpaid by $7.3M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Bijan Robinson at RB2; the model has 161 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts CIN.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 8 to the Atlanta Falcons in 2023, out of Texas (Big 12). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#8
Consensus board14th
Our college model#13 RB

In college, 2020-2022, 29 games: 3,124 rush yds, 35 TD, 6.2 yds/carry, 57 rec.

Recruited

Class of 2020 · Running back · High school: Salpointe Catholic, Tucson, AZ

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 15 in the nation. Composite 0.9928, the recruiting sites' average
Offer strength, our grade
98 of 100
Better offers than 99% of the 2020 class. How it is made
Offers
21
Schools that offered him a scholarship
Committed to
Texas

His offer board, and the recruits whose boards look like it now →

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