Bijan Robinson

Atlanta Falcons·#7

Pos RBHt 5'11"Wt 214 lbExp 2 yrCollege Texas

RB rankings →

Model Score

82.7 MODEL

2023

65.6

2024

81.0

2025

82.7

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 17 games

1,4784th

Rush Yds

717th

Rush TD

792nd

Rec

8202nd

Rec Yds

1113th

Total TD

22.02nd

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

-0.04336th

EPA / rush

2693rd

Rush yds over exp

4.58

Efficiency

3.08s

Time to line

STM Take

Robinson at STTM #5 tier 2 in 2025 with first-team All-Pro recognition is the cleanest pure-talent case at the position outside Gibbs and Henry. The Atlanta usage finally caught up to the draft capital. The 2025 game log shows real peaks (39.9 PPR Wk 17, 29.8 PPR Wk 16) and the touch-share base supports a tier-1 ceiling in 2026.

Robinson was born in Tucson, Arizona, attended Salpointe Catholic, and played three years at Texas where he finished as the Longhorns' all-time per-game rushing leader. Atlanta took him eighth overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. He has since made two Pro Bowls and earned first-team All-Pro honors in 2025, the centerpiece of an Atlanta offense built around his three-down workload.

Strengths

2025 first-team All-Pro at age 23, the only RB under 25 on the current board with that recognition.
Three-down workload: he led ATL in both rushing and receiving usage out of the backfield, locking in the PPR floor.

Concerns

Atlanta's pass-game efficiency caps red-zone touch volume; TD upside is limited until the passing attack normalizes.
320-plus touch pace puts him at the historical edge of the RB workload cliff.

What to watch: Snap share in negative game scripts. If it holds above 70 percent when ATL trails, the RB1-overall conversation locks in early.