Bills run game, 8th, against a run defense ranked 22nd.
Longer bar, better unit.
Chargers with the ball
Chargers offenseBills defense
32nd
Passing
20th
32nd
Run game
19th
27th
Pass rush
4th
25th
Third down
24th
29th
Big plays
16th
32nd
Turnovers
17th
26th
Red zone
25th
Bills with the ball
Bills offenseChargers defense
4th
Passing
11th
8th
Run game
22nd
8th
Pass rush
12th
7th
Third down
5th
1st
Big plays
21st
24th
Turnovers
3rd
2nd
Red zone
11th
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Chargers scored 16 against a team total of 21.75: under.
Chargers scored 16 against a team total of 21.75: under. the spread and total, split.
Bills scored 24 against a team total of 28.75: under. the spread and total, split.
Bills have covered 5 of 7 as a favorite with extra rest.
Bills have covered 5 of 7 as a favorite with extra restcovered
24 of 50 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2026 · points to Bills -7
5 of 7in this spot
Chargers have gone under 7 of 8 as a road underdog outdoorshit, 40 points
29 of 50 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2024 · points to Under 50.5
7 of 8in this spot
Chargers have gone under 9 of 12 as a road underdoghit, 40 points
27 of 46 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2024 · points to Under 50.5
9 of 12in this spot
1 more team trends
Chargers have covered 1 of the last 2 meetings
Last time, 2023 week 16: Bills 24, Chargers 22, Chargers covered.
1-1against the spread
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Bills as a favorite of 7 or more with an elite quarterback with a first-year head coach
22-53
this game200020052010201520202025
22 covered53 did notevery game since 1999, 29%; since 2021 8-14
The last time the Bills were here, Sep 27, 2026: beat the Chargers by 8 as a 7-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 75 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Chargers.
This week · Bills with a total of 48 or higher against a team that has missed three straight covers with an elite quarterback
53-85
this game200020052010201520202025
53 covered85 did notevery game since 1999, 38%; since 2021 11-23
The last time the Bills were here, Nov 29, 2020: beat the Chargers by 10 as a 4.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 138 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Chargers.
This week · Chargers as an underdog of 7 or more with the worse quarterback by two tiers against a first-year head coach
87-55
this game200020052010201520202025
87 covered55 did notevery game since 1999, 61%; since 2021 17-17
The last time the Chargers were here, Sep 27, 2026: lost to the Bills by 8 as a 7-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 142 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Chargers.
Searched this week: 1,571 spread situations and 77 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.03 on the spread and 3.35 on the total.
James Cook has 6 of his last 9 games outdoors with 100+ yards from scrimmage.
James CookRBhit, 154 yds
James Cook has 6 of his last 9 games outdoors with 100+ yards from scrimmage. 4 of 13 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
Chargers with the ball
Bills with the ball
