FinalNE 6, JAX 35Jaguars by 29
SpreadJAX -3Jaguars covered
Total46.5stayed under, 41 points
OpenedJAX -1.5moved 1.5 points by kickoff
The passing game. Expect the Jaguars to attack through the air all day.
Sunday: Jaguars threw for 182 yards and 3 touchdowns.
The model's reads, Over 45.5: it lost.
The depth charts as they stand today.
Jaguars passing game, 2nd, against a pass defense ranked 25th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Patriots with the ball
Patriots offenseJaguars defense
8th
Passing9th
22nd
Run game2nd
14th
Pass rush18th
14th
Third down7th
12th
Big plays3rd
31st
Turnovers4th
19th
Red zone4th
Jaguars with the ball
Jaguars offensePatriots defense
2nd
Passing25th
11th
Run game6th
10th
Pass rush9th
5th
Third down10th
7th
Big plays23rd
19th
Turnovers20th
8th
Red zone16th
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Patriots scored 6 against a team total of 21.75: under.
Patriots scored 6 against a team total of 21.75: under. the spread and total, split.
Jaguars scored 35 against a team total of 24.75: over. the spread and total, split.
Patriots have covered 1 of the last 2 meetings.
Patriots have covered 1 of the last 2 meetings
Last time, 2024 week 7: Patriots 16, Jaguars 32, Jaguars covered.
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Patriots after winning by 14 or more in the first four weeks with the line on 3
29-43
this game200020052010201520202025
29 covered43 did notevery game since 1999, 40%; since 2021 2-8
The last time the Patriots were here, Sep 19, 2010: lost to the Jets by 14 as a 3-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 72 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Jaguars.
Drake Maye has 7 of his last 9 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns.
Drake MayeQBmissed, 0 pass TD
Drake Maye has 7 of his last 9 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns. 9 of 18 everywhere else, 2025-2026.