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Drake Maye

QB·New England Patriots·#10·6'4"·225 lb·2nd year·North Carolina
UNDERPAIDTier 1Round 1, pick 3 in 2024
Updated November 4, 2026
90.7
Model Score
Down from 99.0 last year
Trade value ·three 1sts

Drake Maye has 1,983 passing yards, 15 touchdown passes, 8 interceptions and 215 rushing yards in 8 games for the New England Patriots this season through Week 8, 20.4 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 8.3 from last season.

809010090.7202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A young passer suddenly atop the position on one elite season.

The case for

  • Led the NFL in passer rating and completion percentage in 2025, the rare year-2 QB to win both efficiency crowns.
  • PPR floor was stable all season, with recent games clustered between 15 and 32 fantasy points and no zero-point weeks.

The worry

  • One year of elite play. The 2024 rookie line came in at STTM #28 tier 7, so the trajectory is essentially one full season old.
  • No NFL film yet of him losing the efficiency edge under heavy disguised coverage, which is what year-three defenses will test.

What to watch: Whether the completion-percentage lead holds once defenses devote a full offseason to disguising the looks he picked apart in 2025.

Full take and bio

Maye is the cleanest jump in the rankings: from STTM #28 tier 7 as a rookie to STTM #1 tier 1 in his second year, ratified by league-wide passer rating and completion percentage hardware. The story is no longer ceiling but sustainability with defenses getting a full offseason to scheme against him. He looks like the new top of the position, but the case rests on a single season of elite play.

Maye grew up in Huntersville, North Carolina, played at Myers Park and committed to UNC after flipping from Alabama, then won the 2022 Shaun Alexander Award and ACC Player of the Year as a redshirt freshman by leading the NCAA in total yards. New England took him third overall in the 2024 NFL Draft, and he made the Pro Bowl as a rookie. In 2025 he led the league in passer rating and completion percentage, won the Bert Bell Award, earned second-team All-Pro and a second straight Pro Bowl, and pushed the Patriots to a Super Bowl LX appearance.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Doug Flutie, Jameis Winston, Boomer Esiason. Built like: Sage Rosenfels, Kurtis Rourke, Trent Edwards. Coming out: Marcus Mariota, Brett Hundley, Clayton Tune.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 5 stars, 7 starters, 3 backups, 5 didn't stick.

Drake Maye Props This Weekat MIA

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards240.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Rushing yards25.5-110 Bovada-120 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Drake's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Drake Maye Injury StatusNot listed

Drake Maye is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Pass Yds1,9836th
Pass TD155th
INT825th
Comp %67.4%7th
Rush Yds2154th
Rush TD32nd
Fantasy PPG20.45th
Total EPA38.79th
EPA / dropback0.1598th
Time to throw3.16s
Avg air yards9.3
Aggressiveness12.2%
Longest comp (air)51 yd21st

20.4 fantasy points a game, 163 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$10.0M
APY
$9.2M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$36.6M
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2024
Est. Value
$63.8M/yr
underpaid by $54.7M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Drake Maye at QB2; the model has 180 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits MIA.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 3 to the New England Patriots in 2024, out of North Carolina (ACC). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#3
Consensus board5th
Our college model#17 QB

In college, 2022-2023, 26 games: 7,667 pass yds, 63 TD, 9 INT, 60.5% completions.

Recruited

Class of 2021 · Quarterback · High school: Myers Park, Charlotte, NC

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 56 in the nation. Composite 0.9724, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
North Carolina

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2021 class are still being added.

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