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Week 3 · Sunday Sep 27 · Final

RamsatBroncos

FinalLA 26, DEN 30Broncos by 4
SpreadDEN -1.5Broncos covered
Total43.5went over, 56 points
OpenedLA -3moved 1.5 points by kickoff

The run game. Expect the Rams to run it until the Broncos prove they can stop it.

Sunday: Rams ran for 116 yards on 23 carries.

The model's reads, Over 46.5: it won.

The depth charts as they stand today.

Rams run game, 3rd, against a run defense ranked 25th.

Longer bar, better unit.

Rams with the ball

Rams offenseBroncos defense
16th
Passing
12th
3rd
Run game
25th
12th
Pass rush
2nd
16th
Third down
18th
27th
Big plays
12th
23rd
Turnovers
12th
8th
Red zone
9th

Broncos with the ball

Broncos offenseRams defense
20th
Passing
10th
15th
Run game
4th
1st
Pass rush
28th
31st
Third down
6th
28th
Big plays
9th
11th
Turnovers
6th
11th
Red zone
8th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.

Rams scored 26 against a team total of 21: over.

Rams scored 26 against a team total of 21: over. the spread and total, split.

Broncos scored 30 against a team total of 22.5: over. the spread and total, split.

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Rams after winning by 14 or more in the first four weeks with a head coach in year eight or later with the team
27-46
this game200020052010201520202025
27 covered46 did notevery game since 1999, 37%; since 2021 3-15

The last time the Rams were here, Sep 21, 2025: lost to the Eagles by 7 as a 3.5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 73 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Broncos.

This week · Rams off a Monday night game in the first four weeks with the worse head coach by two tiers
20-32
this game200020052010201520202025
20 covered32 did notevery game since 1999, 38%; since 2021 4-10

The last time the Rams were here, Sep 27, 2026: lost to the Broncos by 4 as a 1.5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 52 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Broncos.

This week · Rams in a pick 'em after winning by 14 or more off a Monday night game
24-15
this game200020052010201520202025
24 covered15 did notevery game since 1999, 62%; since 2021 3-9

The last time the Rams were here, Jan 23, 2022: beat the Buccaneers by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 39 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Rams.

Searched this week: 1,571 spread situations and 77 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.03 on the spread and 3.35 on the total.

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Nothing was on the official card for this game.