J.K. Dobbins
Denver BroncosJ.K. Dobbins has 94 carries for 306 yards, 3 rushing touchdowns and 8 catches for 27 yards in 8 games for the Denver Broncos this season through Week 8, 7.4 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).
Model Score by season
Holding at 77.5.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A productive back who is great when healthy and often not.
The case for
- 5.2 career YPC on 3,024 yards is the second-best efficiency rate among top-15 RBs (behind Achane).
- Two consecutive top-15 finishes (#13 in both 2024 and 2025) after years of injury volatility; the floor is rebuilt.
The worry
- Only 10 games played in 2025 and never more than 14 in any season; the durability question is six seasons old at this point.
- Recent game log peaks at 15.4 PPR and bottoms at 4.0 PPR; the floor weeks come quickly when the carry share dips.
What to watch: Games played. The efficiency profile is tier-1; the rank cannot move without availability moving with it.
Full take and bio
Dobbins finished STTM #13 tier 4 in 2025, identical to his 2024 LAC line. Two consecutive rank-stable years with only 10 games played in 2025 is the cleanest "healthy when on the field" profile on the board. The 5.2 career YPC on 3,024 yards is real production; the games-missed pattern is also real.
Dobbins was born in Houston and rushed for 5,149 yards and 74 touchdowns at La Grange (TX) High School before three years at Ohio State, where he set the Big Ten freshman rushing record (1,403 yards) and won the 2019 Earl Campbell Tyler Rose Award. Baltimore took him 55th overall in the 2020 NFL Draft. After four injury-shortened seasons with the Ravens, he played one year with the Chargers in 2024 and signed with Denver in 2025.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Eddie George, Mark Ingram, Shaun Alexander. Built like: Onterrio Smith, Sean Tucker, Tashard Choice. Coming out: Mark Ingram, Ka'Deem Carey, Montee Ball.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 3 starters, 12 backups, 2 didn't stick.
J.K. Dobbins Props This Weekat CAR Sun Nov 8
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 30.5 | -110 Bovada | -120 Bovada |
| Anytime TD | +120 DraftKings |
Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play J.K.'s numbers on Underdog · partner link
J.K. Dobbins Injury StatusNot listed
J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 8 games
7.4 fantasy points a game, 59 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has J.K. Dobbins at RB39 (the public consensus says RB41); the model has 85 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits CAR.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 2, pick 55 to the Baltimore Ravens in 2020, out of Ohio State (Big Ten). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2017-2019, 42 games: 4,514 rush yds, 43 TD, 6.3 yds/carry, 71 rec. Coming out: 23 reps bench.
Recruited
Class of 2017 · Running back · High school: La Grange, TX
Ohio StateHis full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2017 class are still being added.