J.K. Dobbins
Denver Broncos·#27Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 10 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
STM Take
Dobbins finished STTM #13 tier 4 in 2025, identical to his 2024 LAC line. Two consecutive rank-stable years with only 10 games played in 2025 is the cleanest "healthy when on the field" profile on the board. The 5.2 career YPC on 3,024 yards is real production; the games-missed pattern is also real.
Dobbins was born in Houston and rushed for 5,149 yards and 74 touchdowns at La Grange (TX) High School before three years at Ohio State, where he set the Big Ten freshman rushing record (1,403 yards) and won the 2019 Earl Campbell Tyler Rose Award. Baltimore took him 55th overall in the 2020 NFL Draft. After four injury-shortened seasons with the Ravens, he played one year with the Chargers in 2024 and signed with Denver in 2025.
Strengths
- 5.2 career YPC on 3,024 yards is the second-best efficiency rate among top-15 RBs (behind Achane).
- Two consecutive top-15 finishes (#13 in both 2024 and 2025) after years of injury volatility; the floor is rebuilt.
Concerns
- Only 10 games played in 2025 and never more than 14 in any season; the durability question is six seasons old at this point.
- Recent game log peaks at 15.4 PPR and bottoms at 4.0 PPR; the floor weeks come quickly when the carry share dips.
What to watch: Games played. The efficiency profile is tier-1; the rank cannot move without availability moving with it.
Fantasy Outlook
J.K. Dobbins scored 116 PPR points, 11.6 per game this season. Compare him against any RB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.