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PlayerBrian Branch · S, Detroit Lions, Model Score 85.8Be the Lions GM

Brian Branch

Detroit LionsUNDERPAID
Pos S
Updated October 9, 2026

Model Score

85.8 MODEL
2023
82.6
2024
89.0
2025
80.5

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

2024 1st-team All-Pro plus 2024 Pro Bowl plus 2025 tier 1 (#1) STTM peak establishes Branch as the best safety in football. The Alabama 2020 CFP National Championship pedigree plus the 45th overall draft slot establishes elite foundation. The 2026 question is whether Branch wins his first DPOY or whether the multi-year tier 1 dominance translates to back-to-back top-prize voting.

Branch came out of Alabama as the Detroit Lions' 2nd-round pick (45th overall) in 2023 after winning the 2020 CFP National Championship as a Crimson Tide freshman. He earned 2024 Pro Bowl plus 2024 1st-team All-Pro recognition. His STTM career runs tier 4 (#27) rookie, tier 1 (#7) in 2024, and tier 1 (#1) peak in 2025.

Strengths

  • 2024 1st-team All-Pro plus 2024 Pro Bowl plus 2025 tier 1 (#1) STTM peak establishes the best safety in football.
  • Alabama 2020 CFP National Championship pedigree plus three years of NFL elite production gives him the rare championship-pedigree elite career foundation.

Concerns

  • Detroit's broader defensive identity around the Hutchinson primary pass-rush priority puts continued Branch production partly dependent on team-fit.
  • Multi-year peak workload plus the elite-pace expectations put the late-2020s structural decline question on every projection.

What to watch: Whether Branch wins his first DPOY in 2026 plus holds tier 1 (top 5), the threshold for confirming the multi-year dominance translates to top-prize voting.

Brian Branch Injury StatusOut

Brian Branch is listed Out (Achilles), reported Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 45 · Detroit Lions · 2023
Alabama (SEC)
Taken
#45
where he actually went
Consensus board
41st
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#34
among S in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2020-2022 · 36 games
4 INT, 24 pass breakups, 157 tackles, 16 TFL

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

What this pick usually becomes

Of the 320 players taken as a second-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 63% earned a second contract and 58% became starters. The median one started 44 career games.

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