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PlayerChau Smith-Wade · CB, Carolina Panthers, Model Score 68.0Be the Panthers GM

Chau Smith-Wade

Carolina Panthers
Pos CB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

68.0 MODEL
2024
71.5
2025
70.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Rookie tier 3 (#23) STTM finish as a 157th overall 5th-round pick puts Smith-Wade in the rare outlier-positive class for Day 3 CB rookie prospects. The 57-spot regression from tier 3 (#23) rookie to tier 8 (#80) sophomore confirms the rookie finish was situational. The 2026 question is whether Smith-Wade returns to tier 5-6 territory or whether the structural sophomore decline closes the early-career ceiling.

Smith-Wade came out of Washington State as the Carolina Panthers' 5th-round pick (157th overall) in 2024. He delivered a tier 3 (#23) STTM rookie finish in 2024 before regressing to tier 8 (#80) in 2025.

Strengths

  • Rookie tier 3 (#23) STTM finish as a 157th overall 5th-round pick puts him in the rare outlier-positive rookie CB class.
  • Washington State Pac-12 5th-round origin plus the rookie tier 3 finish gives him real college foundation.

Concerns

  • 57-spot regression from tier 3 (#23) rookie to tier 8 (#80) sophomore confirms the rookie finish was situational.
  • Carolina's broader defensive identity instability plus the multi-year rebuild compresses the structural support around Smith-Wade.

What to watch: Whether Smith-Wade returns to tier 6 (top 50) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the rookie ceiling can be recaptured.

Comps

Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Chau Smith-Wade Injury StatusNot listed

Chau Smith-Wade is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 157 · Carolina Panthers · 2024
Washington State (Pac-12)
Taken
#157
where he actually went
Consensus board
172nd
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#198
among CB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2020-2023 · 40 games
3 INT, 17 pass breakups, 96 tackles, 6 TFL

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

What this pick usually becomes

Of the 500 players taken as a fifth or sixth-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 26% earned a second contract and 16% became starters. The median one started 2 career games.

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