Garrett Williams
Arizona CardinalsUNDERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
2024 tier 1 (#8) STTM peak as a 72nd overall 3rd-round pick puts Williams in the rarest outlier-positive class at the CB position. The 55-spot regression from tier 1 (#8) in 2024 to tier 8 (#63) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike. The Syracuse ACC 3rd-round origin plus the rookie tier 3 (#21) finish establish strong developmental foundation. The 2026 question is whether Williams returns to tier 2-3 territory or whether the structural mid-career instability returns.
Williams came out of Syracuse as the Arizona Cardinals' 3rd-round pick (72nd overall) in 2023. He delivered a tier 1 (#8) STTM peak in 2024 with the Cardinals before regressing to tier 8 (#63) in 2025. His STTM career runs tier 3 (#21) rookie, tier 1 (#8) peak in 2024, and tier 8 (#63) collapse in 2025.
Strengths
- 2024 tier 1 (#8) STTM peak as a 72nd overall 3rd-round pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class at the CB position.
- Syracuse ACC pedigree plus the rookie tier 3 (#21) finish establishes strong developmental foundation.
Concerns
- 55-spot regression from tier 1 (#8) in 2024 to tier 8 (#63) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike.
- Arizona's broader defensive identity around the multi-year rebuild compresses the structural support around Williams.
What to watch: Whether Williams returns to tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2024 ceiling can be recaptured.
Garrett Williams Injury StatusNot listed
Garrett Williams is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Of the 410 players taken as a third-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 51% earned a second contract and 39% became starters. The median one started 21 career games.