Garrett Williams
Arizona CardinalsUNDERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 10 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
2024 tier 1 (#8) STTM peak as a 72nd overall 3rd-round pick puts Williams in the rarest outlier-positive class at the CB position. The 55-spot regression from tier 1 (#8) in 2024 to tier 8 (#63) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike. The Syracuse ACC 3rd-round origin plus the rookie tier 3 (#21) finish establish strong developmental foundation. The 2026 question is whether Williams returns to tier 2-3 territory or whether the structural mid-career instability returns.
Williams came out of Syracuse as the Arizona Cardinals' 3rd-round pick (72nd overall) in 2023. He delivered a tier 1 (#8) STTM peak in 2024 with the Cardinals before regressing to tier 8 (#63) in 2025. His STTM career runs tier 3 (#21) rookie, tier 1 (#8) peak in 2024, and tier 8 (#63) collapse in 2025.
Strengths
- 2024 tier 1 (#8) STTM peak as a 72nd overall 3rd-round pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class at the CB position.
- Syracuse ACC pedigree plus the rookie tier 3 (#21) finish establishes strong developmental foundation.
Concerns
- 55-spot regression from tier 1 (#8) in 2024 to tier 8 (#63) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike.
- Arizona's broader defensive identity around the multi-year rebuild compresses the structural support around Williams.
What to watch: Whether Williams returns to tier 3 (top 25) in 2026, the threshold for confirming the 2024 ceiling can be recaptured.