Jeremy Chinn
Las Vegas RaidersModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 15 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Comps
STM Take
2020 DROY runner-up plus 2021 tier 3 (#17) STTM peak as an FCS 2nd-round pick puts Chinn in the rare outlier-positive S career résumé class. The career STTM volatility confirms the structural ceiling is highly team-fit and scheme dependent. The 2026 question is whether Chinn returns to tier 4-5 territory or whether the structural mid-career instability closes the chapter.
Chinn came out of Southern Illinois (FCS) as the Carolina Panthers' 2nd-round pick (64th overall) in 2020 after finishing as 2020 DROY runner-up. He has bounced through the Panthers, Commanders, and now Raiders across six NFL seasons. His STTM career runs tier 3 (#17) in 2021, tier 8 (#101) in 2023, tier 6 (#46) in 2024, and tier 6 (#48) in 2025.
Strengths
- 2020 DROY runner-up plus 2021 tier 3 (#17) STTM peak as a Southern Illinois FCS 2nd-round pick puts him in the rare outlier-positive S career résumé class.
- Six years of NFL development across three systems gives him real journeyman veteran market value.
Concerns
- Career STTM volatility (tier 3 in 2021, tier 8 in 2023, tier 6 in 2024-2025) confirms the ceiling is highly team-fit dependent.
- Las Vegas's broader defensive identity instability plus the multi-year rebuild compresses the structural support around Chinn.
What to watch: Whether Chinn returns to tier 5 (top 40) in 2026 with the Raiders, the threshold for confirming the elite ceiling can be recaptured.