New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
PlayerKerby Joseph · S, Detroit Lions, Model Score 79.6Be the Lions GM

Kerby Joseph

Detroit Lions
Pos S
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

79.6 MODEL
2022
77.5
2023
77.1
2024
96.0
2025
79.6

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

2024 1st-team All-Pro plus 2024 Pro Bowl plus NFL-leading 9 interceptions in 2024 puts Joseph in the rarest outlier-positive S class for a 97th overall 3rd-round pick. The Illinois Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus the structural Lions anchor role under Dan Campbell creates the elite developmental foundation. The 2026 question is whether Joseph earns his second Pro Bowl plus holds tier 1-2 territory or whether the structural one-year context spike concerns surface.

Joseph came out of Illinois as the Detroit Lions' 3rd-round pick (97th overall) in 2022. He earned 2024 1st-team All-Pro recognition plus the 2024 Pro Bowl after leading the NFL with 9 interceptions. He has anchored the Lions' free safety role across four seasons under Dan Campbell.

Strengths

  • 2024 1st-team All-Pro plus 2024 Pro Bowl plus NFL-leading 9 INTs in 2024 as a 97th overall 3rd-round pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class at the S position.
  • Illinois Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus the structural Lions anchor role under Dan Campbell establishes elite developmental foundation.

Concerns

  • Single 1st-team All-Pro year plus the NFL-leading 9 INTs (a rare ball-tracking outlier) creates real one-year context spike risk.
  • Detroit's broader defensive identity around the Hutchinson primary pass-rush priority puts continued Joseph ball-production partly dependent on team-fit.

What to watch: Whether Joseph earns his second Pro Bowl in 2026 plus crosses 6 INTs, the threshold for confirming the 2024 elite ceiling is structural.

Comps

Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Kerby Joseph Injury StatusOut

Kerby Joseph is listed Out (Knee), reported Aug 31. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 97 · Detroit Lions · 2022
Illinois (Big Ten)
Taken
#97
where he actually went
Our college model
#317
among S in our college data
In college · 2018-2021 · 44 games
5 INT, 6 pass breakups, 116 tackles, 2 TFL

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

What this pick usually becomes

Of the 410 players taken as a third-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 51% earned a second contract and 39% became starters. The median one started 21 career games.

Related Tools & Pages