Kerby Joseph
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 6 games
Draft & College
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
2024 1st-team All-Pro plus 2024 Pro Bowl plus NFL-leading 9 interceptions in 2024 puts Joseph in the rarest outlier-positive S class for a 97th overall 3rd-round pick. The Illinois Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus the structural Lions anchor role under Dan Campbell creates the elite developmental foundation. The 2026 question is whether Joseph earns his second Pro Bowl plus holds tier 1-2 territory or whether the structural one-year context spike concerns surface.
Joseph came out of Illinois as the Detroit Lions' 3rd-round pick (97th overall) in 2022. He earned 2024 1st-team All-Pro recognition plus the 2024 Pro Bowl after leading the NFL with 9 interceptions. He has anchored the Lions' free safety role across four seasons under Dan Campbell.
Strengths
- 2024 1st-team All-Pro plus 2024 Pro Bowl plus NFL-leading 9 INTs in 2024 as a 97th overall 3rd-round pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class at the S position.
- Illinois Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus the structural Lions anchor role under Dan Campbell establishes elite developmental foundation.
Concerns
- Single 1st-team All-Pro year plus the NFL-leading 9 INTs (a rare ball-tracking outlier) creates real one-year context spike risk.
- Detroit's broader defensive identity around the Hutchinson primary pass-rush priority puts continued Joseph ball-production partly dependent on team-fit.
What to watch: Whether Joseph earns his second Pro Bowl in 2026 plus crosses 6 INTs, the threshold for confirming the 2024 elite ceiling is structural.
