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PlayerNate Hobbs · CB, Green Bay Packers, Model Score 73.4Be the Packers GM

Nate Hobbs

Green Bay Packers
Pos CB
Updated October 8, 2026
Compare Nate Hobbs CB rankings →

Model Score

73.4 MODEL
Resting on limited playing time

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Rookie tier 5 (#33) STTM peak as a 167th overall 5th-round pick puts Hobbs in the rare outlier-positive class at the CB position. The 51-spot regression from tier 6 (#43) in 2024 to tier 8 (#94) in 2025 with Green Bay confirms the structural ceiling is highly team-fit dependent. The 2026 question is whether Hobbs returns to tier 6-7 territory or whether the change-of-scenery context closes the chapter.

Hobbs came out of Illinois as the Las Vegas Raiders' 5th-round pick (167th overall) in 2021 and signed with the Green Bay Packers in 2025 free agency. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#33) rookie, tier 8 (#103) in 2022, tier 7 (#50) in 2023, tier 6 (#43) in 2024, and tier 8 (#94) collapse in 2025 with the Packers.

Strengths

  • Rookie tier 5 (#33) STTM peak as a 167th overall 5th-round pick puts him in the rare outlier-positive class at the CB position.
  • Illinois Big Ten 5th-round origin plus five years of NFL survival gives him real journeyman veteran market value.

Concerns

  • 51-spot regression from tier 6 (#43) in 2024 to tier 8 (#94) in 2025 with Green Bay confirms the ceiling is highly team-fit dependent.
  • Green Bay's broader defensive identity around Jeff Hafley's first-year scheme puts continued Hobbs ceiling partly scheme-dependent.

What to watch: Whether Hobbs returns to tier 7 (top 55) in 2026 with the Packers, the threshold for confirming the late-prime ceiling holds.

Comps

Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his
Eric Murray65%Devin McCourty60%Sherrick McManis60%

Nate Hobbs Injury StatusNot listed

Nate Hobbs is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 167 · Las Vegas Raiders · 2021
Illinois (Big Ten)
Taken
#167
where he actually went
Consensus board
147th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#52
among CB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2017-2020 · 44 games
3 INT, 14 pass breakups, 170 tackles, 14 TFL

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

What this pick usually becomes

Of the 500 players taken as a fifth or sixth-rounder between 2012 and 2021, 26% earned a second contract and 16% became starters. The median one started 2 career games.

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