Nate Hobbs
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 11 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Rookie tier 5 (#33) STTM peak as a 167th overall 5th-round pick puts Hobbs in the rare outlier-positive class at the CB position. The 51-spot regression from tier 6 (#43) in 2024 to tier 8 (#94) in 2025 with Green Bay confirms the structural ceiling is highly team-fit dependent. The 2026 question is whether Hobbs returns to tier 6-7 territory or whether the change-of-scenery context closes the chapter.
Hobbs came out of Illinois as the Las Vegas Raiders' 5th-round pick (167th overall) in 2021 and signed with the Green Bay Packers in 2025 free agency. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#33) rookie, tier 8 (#103) in 2022, tier 7 (#50) in 2023, tier 6 (#43) in 2024, and tier 8 (#94) collapse in 2025 with the Packers.
Strengths
- Rookie tier 5 (#33) STTM peak as a 167th overall 5th-round pick puts him in the rare outlier-positive class at the CB position.
- Illinois Big Ten 5th-round origin plus five years of NFL survival gives him real journeyman veteran market value.
Concerns
- 51-spot regression from tier 6 (#43) in 2024 to tier 8 (#94) in 2025 with Green Bay confirms the ceiling is highly team-fit dependent.
- Green Bay's broader defensive identity around Jeff Hafley's first-year scheme puts continued Hobbs ceiling partly scheme-dependent.
What to watch: Whether Hobbs returns to tier 7 (top 55) in 2026 with the Packers, the threshold for confirming the late-prime ceiling holds.
