Quentin Lake
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 10 games
Draft & College
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Tier 8 (#59) to tier 5 (#40) to tier 1 (#7) breakout in 2025 is a 52-spot two-year STTM climb that puts Lake in the rarest outlier-positive class at the S position. The UCLA Pac-12 6th-round origin plus the NFL-family bloodline (Carnell Lake) give him real foundation. The 2026 question is whether Lake earns his first Pro Bowl plus holds tier 1 territory or whether the 2025 finish was a one-year context spike.
Lake came out of UCLA as the Los Angeles Rams' 6th-round pick (211th overall) in 2022, the son of three-time Pro Bowl S Carnell Lake. He has anchored the Rams' safety rotation across four seasons. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#59) in 2023, tier 5 (#40) in 2024, and tier 1 (#7) breakout in 2025.
Strengths
- 52-spot two-year STTM jump from tier 8 (#59) to tier 1 (#7) for a 211th overall 6th-round pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class.
- UCLA Pac-12 6th-round origin plus the NFL-family bloodline (Carnell Lake) gives him real foundation.
Concerns
- Single tier 1 finish without prior top-30 STTM history puts the 2025 production on a small sample with downside risk.
- Los Angeles's broader defensive identity around the Aaron Donald-era transition compresses the structural support around Lake.
What to watch: Whether Lake earns his first Pro Bowl in 2026 plus holds tier 2 or better, the threshold for confirming the 2025 breakout was structural.
