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PlayerQuentin Lake · S, Los Angeles Rams, Model Score 76.2Be the Rams GM

Quentin Lake

Los Angeles Rams
Pos S
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

76.2 MODEL
2023
71.4
2024
79.6
2025
76.9
2026
76.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 8 (#59) to tier 5 (#40) to tier 1 (#7) breakout in 2025 is a 52-spot two-year STTM climb that puts Lake in the rarest outlier-positive class at the S position. The UCLA Pac-12 6th-round origin plus the NFL-family bloodline (Carnell Lake) give him real foundation. The 2026 question is whether Lake earns his first Pro Bowl plus holds tier 1 territory or whether the 2025 finish was a one-year context spike.

Lake came out of UCLA as the Los Angeles Rams' 6th-round pick (211th overall) in 2022, the son of three-time Pro Bowl S Carnell Lake. He has anchored the Rams' safety rotation across four seasons. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#59) in 2023, tier 5 (#40) in 2024, and tier 1 (#7) breakout in 2025.

Strengths

  • 52-spot two-year STTM jump from tier 8 (#59) to tier 1 (#7) for a 211th overall 6th-round pick puts him in the rarest outlier-positive class.
  • UCLA Pac-12 6th-round origin plus the NFL-family bloodline (Carnell Lake) gives him real foundation.

Concerns

  • Single tier 1 finish without prior top-30 STTM history puts the 2025 production on a small sample with downside risk.
  • Los Angeles's broader defensive identity around the Aaron Donald-era transition compresses the structural support around Lake.

What to watch: Whether Lake earns his first Pro Bowl in 2026 plus holds tier 2 or better, the threshold for confirming the 2025 breakout was structural.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage

Quentin Lake Injury StatusNot listed

Quentin Lake is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Quentin Lake Stats This Season · 3 games

1
INT
7
Pass Deflections
57.1%
Comp % Allowed
3.7
Yds / Target
0
TD Allowed
16
Solo Tackles

Draft & College

Round 6, pick 211 · Los Angeles Rams · 2022
UCLA (Pac-12)
Taken
#211
where he actually went
Our college model
#291
among S in our college data
In college · 2018-2021 · 43 games
6 INT, 15 pass breakups, 171 tackles, 4 TFL

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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