Riley Moss
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Tier 8 (#85) sophomore to tier 7 (#50) in 2025 is a 35-spot one-year improvement for a 3rd-round pick. The Iowa Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus the Vance Joseph defensive scheme appears to be the catalyst. The 2026 question is whether Moss crosses into tier 5-6 territory or whether the structural tier 7 finish becomes the stable baseline.
Moss came out of Iowa as the Denver Broncos' 3rd-round pick (83rd overall) in 2023. He has anchored the Broncos' CB rotation across three seasons under defensive coordinator Vance Joseph. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#85) sophomore to tier 7 (#50) in 2025, a 35-spot one-year improvement.
Strengths
- 35-spot year-over-year improvement from tier 8 (#85) sophomore to tier 7 (#50) in 2025 shows real developmental trajectory.
- Iowa Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus the Vance Joseph defensive scheme creates the structural environment for continued development.
Concerns
- Career STTM range capped at tier 7 (#50) flags the realistic ceiling at top-50 CB rather than Pro Bowl territory.
- Denver's broader defensive identity around Surtain's primary anchor priority compresses Moss's structural snap share.
What to watch: Whether Moss crosses into tier 5 (top 40) in 2026, the standard year-four threshold for 3rd-round CB picks on stable-starter trajectories.
