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PlayerRiley Moss · CB, Denver Broncos, Model Score 82.2Be the Broncos GM

Riley Moss

Denver Broncos
Pos CB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

82.2 MODEL
2024
73.7
2025
87.2
2026
82.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 8 (#85) sophomore to tier 7 (#50) in 2025 is a 35-spot one-year improvement for a 3rd-round pick. The Iowa Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus the Vance Joseph defensive scheme appears to be the catalyst. The 2026 question is whether Moss crosses into tier 5-6 territory or whether the structural tier 7 finish becomes the stable baseline.

Moss came out of Iowa as the Denver Broncos' 3rd-round pick (83rd overall) in 2023. He has anchored the Broncos' CB rotation across three seasons under defensive coordinator Vance Joseph. His STTM career runs tier 8 (#85) sophomore to tier 7 (#50) in 2025, a 35-spot one-year improvement.

Strengths

  • 35-spot year-over-year improvement from tier 8 (#85) sophomore to tier 7 (#50) in 2025 shows real developmental trajectory.
  • Iowa Big Ten 3rd-round origin plus the Vance Joseph defensive scheme creates the structural environment for continued development.

Concerns

  • Career STTM range capped at tier 7 (#50) flags the realistic ceiling at top-50 CB rather than Pro Bowl territory.
  • Denver's broader defensive identity around Surtain's primary anchor priority compresses Moss's structural snap share.

What to watch: Whether Moss crosses into tier 5 (top 40) in 2026, the standard year-four threshold for 3rd-round CB picks on stable-starter trajectories.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Plays like
on-field production only
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Riley Moss Injury StatusQuestionable

Riley Moss is listed Questionable (Ribs), reported Oct 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Riley Moss Stats This Season · 4 games

1
INT
5
Pass Deflections
50.0%
Comp % Allowed
6.8
Yds / Target
3
TD Allowed
9
Solo Tackles

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 83 · Denver Broncos · 2023
Iowa (Big Ten)
Taken
#83
where he actually went
Consensus board
70th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#102
among CB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2018-2022 · 57 games
11 INT, 25 pass breakups, 156 tackles, 6 TFL

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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