Trevon Moehrig
Carolina PanthersModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 16 games
Draft & College
He went well ahead of consensus.
Comps
STM Take
2020 Jim Thorpe Award plus 2024 tier 1 (#4) STTM peak puts Moehrig in the elite S career résumé class. The 24-spot regression from tier 1 (#4) in 2024 to tier 4 (#28) in 2025 with Carolina confirms the structural ceiling is highly team-fit dependent. The 2026 question is whether Moehrig returns to tier 2-3 territory or whether the change-of-scenery context closes the elite chapter.
Moehrig came out of TCU as the Las Vegas Raiders' 2nd-round pick (43rd overall) in 2021 after winning the 2020 Jim Thorpe Award as the nation's top defensive back. He delivered a tier 1 (#4) STTM peak in 2024 with the Raiders before signing with the Carolina Panthers in 2025 free agency. His STTM career runs tier 1 (#4) peak in 2024 to tier 4 (#28) collapse in 2025.
Strengths
- 2020 Jim Thorpe Award plus 2024 tier 1 (#4) STTM peak as a 43rd overall 2nd-round pick establishes elite S career résumé.
- TCU Big 12 2nd-round origin plus five years of NFL development gives him real veteran market value.
Concerns
- 24-spot regression from tier 1 (#4) in 2024 to tier 4 (#28) in 2025 confirms the ceiling is highly team-fit dependent.
- Carolina's broader defensive identity instability plus the multi-year rebuild compresses the structural support around Moehrig.
What to watch: Whether Moehrig returns to tier 2 (top 15) in 2026 with the Panthers, the threshold for confirming the 2024 ceiling can be recaptured.