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2012 NFC Divisional Round · Seahawks at Falcons

Seahawks vs Falcons, 2012 NFC Divisional Round: down 6, 3:00 left, 1st and 10 at your own 39.

What really happened

Pete Carroll was calling it for the Seahawks. His first call: Marshawn Lynch ran for 3 yards. The real drive ended in a touchdown. The Seahawks lost 30-28 to the Falcons.

The plays that swung it

1. Q4 2:00

   Russell Wilson hit Golden Tate for 19 yards.

   +7 points of win chance

2. Q4 0:44

   Russell Wilson hit Marshawn Lynch for 24 yards.

   +26 points of win chance

3. Q4 0:34

   Marshawn Lynch ran 2 yards for a touchdown.

   +8 points of win chance

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.

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