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2017 Week 3 · Texans at Patriots

Patriots vs Texans, 2017 Week 3: down 5, 2:24 left, 1st and 10 at your own 25.

What really happened

Bill Belichick was calling it for the Patriots. His first call: Tom Brady's pass to Danny Amendola fell incomplete. The real drive ended in a touchdown. The Patriots won 36-33 over the Texans.

The plays that swung it

1. Q4 1:28

   Tom Brady was sacked by Marcus Gilchrist for a loss of 4.

   -17 points of win chance

2. Q4 0:54

   Tom Brady hit Danny Amendola for 27 yards.

   +28 points of win chance

3. Q4 0:29

   Tom Brady hit Brandin Cooks for a 25-yard touchdown.

   +32 points of win chance

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.

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