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2018 AFC Championship · Patriots at Chiefs

Patriots vs Chiefs, 2018 AFC Championship: down 4, 1:57 left, three timeouts, 1st and 10 at your own 35.

What really happened

Bill Belichick was calling it for the Patriots. His first call: Tom Brady hit Julian Edelman for 20 yards. The real drive ended in a touchdown. The Patriots won 37-31 over the Chiefs.

The plays that swung it

1. Q4 1:57

   Tom Brady hit Julian Edelman for 20 yards.

   +8 points of win chance

2. Q4 0:54

   Tom Brady hit Rob Gronkowski for 25 yards.

   +24 points of win chance

3. Q4 0:42

   R. Burkhead ran 4 yards for a touchdown.

   +13 points of win chance

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.

More endings

• Could you have saved the Patriots? 2022 Week 15 vs the Raiders, tied with 32 seconds left2022 Week 15, Patriots at Raiders
• Can you do what the Patriots did? 2017 Week 3 vs the Texans, down 5 with 2:24 left2017 Week 3, Texans at Patriots
• Could you have saved the Patriots? 2021 Week 6 vs the Cowboys, up 1 with 2:42 left2021 Week 6, Cowboys at Patriots
• Can you do what the Patriots did? 2011 Week 6 vs the Cowboys, down 3 with 2:31 left2011 Week 6, Cowboys at Patriots
• Can you do what the Patriots did? 2015 Week 10 vs the Giants, down 2 with 1:47 left2015 Week 10, Patriots at Giants

Every famous ending · What lost it this week