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2021 Week 1 · Dolphins at Patriots

Dolphins vs Patriots, 2021 Week 1: up 1, 3:31 left, 1st and 10 at your own 9.

What really happened

Brian Flores was calling it for the Dolphins. His first call: Tua Tagovailoa hit DeVante Parker for 13 yards. The real drive ended with the clock running out. The Dolphins won 17-16 over the Patriots.

The plays that swung it

1. Q4 3:31

   An offensive holding penalty on Liam Eichenberg of the Dolphins wiped out the play, 4 yards.

   -5 points of win chance

2. Q4 3:24

   Tua Tagovailoa hit DeVante Parker for 13 yards.

   +12 points of win chance

3. Q4 2:24

   The runner ran for 2 yards.

   +12 points of win chance

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.

More endings

• Can you do what the Dolphins did? 2016 Week 16 vs the Bills, tied with 4:00 left in overtime2016 Week 16, Dolphins at Bills
• Can you do what the Dolphins did? 2018 Week 6 vs the Bears, tied with 1:55 left in overtime2018 Week 6, Bears at Dolphins
• Can you do what the Dolphins did? 2019 Week 16 vs the Bengals, tied with 3:19 left in overtime2019 Week 16, Bengals at Dolphins
• Can you do what the Dolphins did? 2022 Week 2 vs the Ravens, down 3 with 2:12 left2022 Week 2, Dolphins at Ravens
• Could you have saved the Dolphins? 2010 Week 13 vs the Browns, tied with 1:34 left2010 Week 13, Browns at Dolphins

Every famous ending · What lost it this week