Tua Tagovailoa
Atlanta FalconsTua Tagovailoa has 34 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes and 1 interception in 1 game for the Atlanta Falcons this season through Week 8, -0.6 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).
Model Score by season
Down 8.5 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
An efficient passer whose standing just cratered.
The case for
- Three separate league titles in four years: passer rating (2022), passing yards (2023), completion percentage (2024).
- Career 68.0 percent completion percentage and 96.4 passer rating remain among the best efficiency profiles in the league.
The worry
- 27-rank drop from 2024 to 2025; the regression bar matches the concussion-history narrative that has followed him for years.
- 120 career TDs against 59 INTs is a meaningfully worse ratio than Burrow/Mahomes/Goff at comparable age.
What to watch: Whether the offensive scheme around him in 2026 produces a tier-4-or-better finish, or whether the 2024 tier-2 line was the last clean year.
Full take and bio
Tagovailoa cratered from STTM #6 tier 2 in 2024 to #33 tier 8 in 2025, the biggest negative move on the board outside the rookie-tier names. The 2025 game log includes multiple sub-10 PPR weeks and one negative-point game; the historical concussion arc keeps the long-term question present. He is one of the most decorated statistical winners in the field and one of the rank-trend losers.
Tagovailoa was born in 'Ewa Beach, Hawaii, attended Saint Louis School in Honolulu, and was the 2018 CFP National Championship Game Offensive MVP for Alabama. He won the 2018 Maxwell and Walter Camp awards, finished second in the Heisman, then went fifth overall to Miami in the 2020 NFL Draft. He has won the NFL passer rating title (2022), the passing yards title (2023), and the completion percentage title (2024), the only quarterback on the current top-35 board with three separate statistical crowns.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Aaron Rodgers, Drew Bledsoe, Philip Rivers. Built like: Tim Rattay, Spencer Rattler, Drew Brees. Coming out: Chase Daniel, Baker Mayfield, Tim Rattay.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 2 starters, 9 backups, 5 didn't stick.
Tua Tagovailoa Injury StatusNot listed
Tua Tagovailoa is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 1 games
-0.6 fantasy points a game, -1 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 5 to the Miami Dolphins in 2020, out of Alabama (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2017-2019, 32 games: 7,242 pass yds, 88 TD, 11 INT, 66.7% completions.
Recruited
Class of 2017 · Quarterback · High school: St. Louis, Honolulu, HI
AlabamaHis full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2017 class are still being added.