Tua Tagovailoa

Atlanta Falcons·#1

Pos QBHt 6'1"Wt 218 lbExp 5 yrCollege Alabama

QB rankings →

Model Score

68.1 MODEL

2022

73.6

2023

72.0

2024

76.6

2025

68.1

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 14 games

2,66022nd

Pass Yds

2019th

Pass TD

1541st

INT

68.1%11th

Comp %

4338th

Rush Yds

031st

Rush TD

11.536th

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.622nd

Total EPA

0.01922nd

EPA / dropback

2.66s

Time to throw

6.7

Avg air yards

13.5%

Aggressiveness

56 yd12th

Longest comp (air)

STM Take

Tagovailoa cratered from STTM #6 tier 2 in 2024 to #33 tier 8 in 2025, the biggest negative move on the board outside the rookie-tier names. The 2025 game log includes multiple sub-10 PPR weeks and one negative-point game; the historical concussion arc keeps the long-term question present. He is one of the most decorated statistical winners in the field and one of the rank-trend losers.

Tagovailoa was born in 'Ewa Beach, Hawaii, attended Saint Louis School in Honolulu, and was the 2018 CFP National Championship Game Offensive MVP for Alabama. He won the 2018 Maxwell and Walter Camp awards, finished second in the Heisman, then went fifth overall to Miami in the 2020 NFL Draft. He has won the NFL passer rating title (2022), the passing yards title (2023), and the completion percentage title (2024), the only quarterback on the current top-35 board with three separate statistical crowns.

Strengths

Three separate league titles in four years: passer rating (2022), passing yards (2023), completion percentage (2024).
Career 68.0 percent completion percentage and 96.4 passer rating remain among the best efficiency profiles in the league.

Concerns

27-rank drop from 2024 to 2025; the regression bar matches the concussion-history narrative that has followed him for years.
120 career TDs against 59 INTs is a meaningfully worse ratio than Burrow/Mahomes/Goff at comparable age.

What to watch: Whether the offensive scheme around him in 2026 produces a tier-4-or-better finish, or whether the 2024 tier-2 line was the last clean year.