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2025 AFC Divisional Round · Bills at Broncos
Can you do what the Broncos did?
Broncos vs Bills, 2025 AFC Divisional Round: down 4, 4:06 left, 1st and 10 at your own 27.
DOWN 4
4:06 left, 1st and 10 at their own 27
Broncos 23, Bills 27. Timeouts: Broncos 3, Bills 3.
The Broncos were 27% to win from here.
Call it yourselfWhat really happened
Sean Payton was calling it for the Broncos. His first call: Bo Nix hit Courtland Sutton for 11 yards. The real drive ended in a touchdown. The Broncos won 33-30 over the Bills.
The plays that swung it
Bo Nix hit Courtland Sutton for 25 yards.
+21 points of win chanceBo Nix ran for 6 yards.
+10 points of win chanceBo Nix hit Marvin Mims Jr. for a 26-yard touchdown.
+22 points of win chance
Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win.
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