Bo Nix
Denver BroncosBo Nix has 1,493 passing yards, 9 touchdown passes, 3 interceptions and 114 rushing yards in 8 games for the Denver Broncos this season through Week 8, 14.1 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).
Model Score by season
Down 7.2 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A high-floor quarterback whose ceiling needs more aggression.
The case for
- Two consecutive top-15 finishes to start a career, with a division title and playoff win in his second year.
- Recent game floor is genuinely steady, with no zero-point weeks in the back half of 2025 and games clustered between 10 and 29 PPR.
The worry
- Two tier-3-or-worse seasons with no statistical signal pointing toward a tier-1 jump in year three.
- Sean Payton offense is structurally conservative on attempts; the rushing component (786 career yards, 9 TDs) isn't large enough to lift the ceiling on its own.
What to watch: Whether Payton expands the deep-shot menu in year three; the tier-1 case requires more downfield volume than 2025 produced.
Full take and bio
Nix posted STTM #14 tier 4 as a rookie and held the trajectory at #11 tier 3 in year two, the kind of two-year continuity rookies in this range rarely produce. The case is real but it is a tier-3 case, not a tier-1 one. Sean Payton's offense gives him a structurally high floor; the ceiling argument needs more vertical aggression than the 2025 profile showed.
Nix was born in Arkadelphia, Arkansas and played under his father at Pinson Valley in Alabama before three years at Auburn and two at Oregon, where he won 2023 Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year and set the FBS single-season completion percentage record at 77.45 percent. Denver took him 12th overall in the 2024 NFL Draft and named him the starter as a rookie. He led the Broncos to the playoffs in year one and to a division title plus a playoff win in year two, both firsts for Denver since 2015.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Kenny Pickett ’2385%Joey Harrington ’0584%
Zach Wilson ’2383%Charlie Batch ’0082%
Trevor Siemian ’1779%Plays like: Doug Pederson, Kenny Pickett, Joey Harrington. Built like: Patrick Ramsey, Shedeur Sanders, Haynes King. Coming out: Zach Wilson, Baker Mayfield, Geno Smith.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 6 stars, 5 starters, 5 backups, 4 didn't stick.
Bo Nix Props This Weekvs KC
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 208.5 | -115 Bovada | -115 Bovada |
| Rushing yards | 15.5 | -115 Bovada | -115 Bovada |
Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Bo's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Bo Nix Injury StatusNot listed
Bo Nix is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 8 games
14.1 fantasy points a game, 113 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Bo Nix at QB17 (the public consensus says QB19); the model has 137 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts KC.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 12 to the Denver Broncos in 2024, out of Oregon (Pac-12). He went well ahead of consensus.
In college, 2019-2023, 61 games: 15,085 pass yds, 113 TD, 22 INT, 64.6% completions.
Recruited
Class of 2019 · Quarterback · High school: Pinson Valley, Pinson, AL
His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.