Games › Redo › What Lost It

Week 7, 2026 · Final

Shane Steichen's Colts lost 16-10 to the Vikings; these three plays cost the most.

1. Q4 4:27 · 4th & 2 at the MIN 30

   Spencer Shrader's 48-yard field goal missed.

   -19 points of win chanceWin chance 36% to 16%Redo this play

2. Q4 1:15 · 1st & 10 at the IND 44

   Daniel Jones' pass to Will Mallory was intercepted by Harrison Smith.

   -15 points of win chanceWin chance 15% to 1%Redo this play

3. Q4 15:00 · 3rd & 8 at the IND 40

   Kyler Murray scrambled for 35 yards and a first down.

   -15 points of win chanceWin chance 52% to 37%Redo this play

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win. Each play shows how far it moved.

See it from the Vikings side · Every team this week

Other Colts weeks

• Week 10, 2025
• Week 5, 2026