Games › Redo › What Lost It

Week 5, 2026 · Final

Shane Steichen's Colts lost 34-22 to the Steelers; these three plays cost the most.

1. Q1 8:57 · 1st & 10 at the PIT 20

   Aaron Rodgers hit Jaylen Warren for an 80-yard touchdown.

   -14 points of win chanceWin chance 52% to 37%

2. Q3 7:16 · 1st & 10 at midfield

   Jaylen Warren ran 50 yards for a touchdown.

   -13 points of win chanceWin chance 31% to 18%

3. Q4 10:11 · 3rd & 2 at the PIT 44

   Aaron Rodgers hit Germie Bernard for 25 yards and a first down.

   -8 points of win chanceWin chance 27% to 19%

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win. Each play shows how far it moved.

See it from the Steelers side · Every team this week

Other Colts weeks

• Week 10, 2025