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Class of 2027 · edge rusher

Alexander Coey

6-4, 235 · Conroe, TX

Uncommitted

64offer strength · No. 907
0.8750composite · 3-star
29offers · 12 power

Where he is likely to commit

STM odds · provisional
Houston logoHouston
official visit Jun 4; one of the stronger programs on his board; in-state
61%
Pittsburgh logoPittsburgh
official visit Jun 11; one of the stronger programs on his board; last contact Jun 11
14%
Boise State logoBoise State
the strongest program on his board; last contact Apr 30; 1,460 miles from home
2%
Show all 5 programsBaylor logoBaylor
one of the stronger programs on his board; in-state; last contact Apr 29
2%
UTSA logoUTSA
in-state; last contact Apr 30; 190 miles from home
2%
Shares of 100% across his offers, from dated offers, visits, distance, need and recent contact; no expert picks or rankings. On 212 held-out commits the top pick was right 42% of the time (visits alone 23%). How the odds are made.

Every offer

29 offers · visited 2
Boise State logoBoise State
Mountain West · strength 78
cold
offered Apr 30
Northwestern logoNorthwestern
Big Ten · strength 75
cold
offered Jan 27
Houston logoHouston
Big 12 · strength 76
cool
official visit Jun 4
Wake Forest logoWake Forest
ACC · strength 71
cold
offered Feb 24
Stanford logoStanford
ACC · strength 58
cold
offered Jan 27, 2025
Pittsburgh logoPittsburgh
ACC · strength 68
cool
official visit Jun 11
Show all 29 offersArizona logoArizona
Big 12 · strength 66
cold
offered Apr 30
Mississippi State logoMississippi State
SEC · strength 67
cold
offered Jan 27
Duke logoDuke
ACC · strength 60
cold
offered Jan 25, 2025
Baylor logoBaylor
Big 12 · strength 63
cold
offered Apr 29, 2025
Tulane logoTulane
American Athletic · strength 53
cold
offered Jan 30
North Texas logoNorth Texas
American Athletic · strength 46
cold
offered Jan 30
Utah State logoUtah State
Mountain West · strength 45
cold
offered Jan 27, 2025
Oregon State logoOregon State
Pac-12 · strength 48
cold
offered Feb 4, 2025
Vanderbilt logoVanderbilt
SEC · strength 54
cold
offered Apr 30
Michigan State logoMichigan State
Big Ten · strength 50
cold
offered May 8, 2025
Kansas logoKansas
Big 12 · strength 51
cold
offered Apr 30
San Diego State logoSan Diego State
Mountain West · strength 42
cold
offered Apr 30
UTSA logoUTSA
American Athletic · strength 45
cold
offered Apr 30
Texas State logoTexas State
Sun Belt · strength 38
cold
offered Jan 29, 2025
Rice logoRice
American Athletic · strength 27
cold
offered Jan 30
UNLV logoUNLV
Mountain West · strength 32
cold
offered Jan 29, 2025
Tulsa logoTulsa
American Athletic · strength 29
cool
offered May 19
Colorado State logoColorado State
Mountain West · strength 28
cold
offered Apr 30
New Mexico logoNew Mexico
Mountain West · strength 32
cold
offered Apr 30
UTEP logoUTEP
Conference USA · strength 16
cold
offered Apr 30
New Mexico State logoNew Mexico State
Conference USA · strength 6
cold
offered Apr 30
Sacramento State logoSacramento State
FCS · strength 6
cold
offered Jan 28, 2025
Cornell logoCornell
cold
offered Apr 30
Best programs first, by what each offer is worth in our grade: program strength times how rarely that program offers (how it is made). Warm means an offer, visit or camp in the last 60 days or an official visit in the last 120; cool, contact in the last 180; cold, older or a decommit. A count is the offers on record, not every offer the staffs made.

Where he fits

best 3 of 29 offers
Best fits
Houston logoHouston
Thin at defensive line (8 with 2+ years left); has started 3 defensive lines his size since 2022; 2 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 1
Michigan State logoMichigan State
Thin at defensive line (9 with 2+ years left); has started 3 defensive lines his size since 2022; 2 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 2
Pittsburgh logoPittsburgh
Has started 4 defensive lines his size since 2022; 3 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season; even at defensive line (10 with 2+ years left)
No. 3
Need (how thin the program is at his spot) x fit (whether it starts players his size) x room (who leaves after this season), and while he is uncommitted, STM odds. How it is made. Not advice, and never a dollar figure.
Where his size starts

391 of the 892 FBS starters at edge rusher since 2022 were his size (6-3 to 6-5, 219 to 251 pounds): most in the ACC (66), Big Ten (62) and SEC (51). Programs that start it most: Penn State (8), Stanford (8) and Michigan (7). Of his offers, Stanford (8), Duke (6), Vanderbilt (6) and Wake Forest (5) have started it.

Who needs him

Of his 29 offers, Baylor has the thinnest room at defensive line: 7 with 2+ years left of 19, 4 in their last year, 14 portal exits in 3 seasons, 1 commit this cycle. Also thin there: Houston, Kansas and Stanford.

Starter seasons 2022-2026: six or more games in one of the position's starting slots by volume (college snap counts are not public). How it is made. Room is 2+ years left plus 2027 commits at the spot against the 68 programs mapped (the power conferences and Notre Dame); exits are the 2024-2026 portal feeds. How it is made.

Boards that looked like his

0 of 10 drafted
Rutgers logoMarques Ford
Class of 2015 · SDE · signed Rutgers
2 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-4, 230
Not drafted
match 85
Rutgers logoDarius Hamilton
Class of 2012 · SDE · signed Rutgers
10 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-4, 250
Not drafted
match 78
Michael Moore
Class of 2012 · DE · signing not on record
12 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; 6-4, 255
Not drafted
match 73
Auburn logoElijah Daniel
Class of 2013 · SDE · signed Auburn
6 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-4, 250
Not drafted
match 71
Oklahoma State logoNaim Mustafaa
Class of 2013 · SDE · signed Oklahoma State
4 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-4, 235
Not drafted
match 69
Show all 10
Clemson logoMartin Aiken
Class of 2012 · SDE · signed Clemson
6 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-3, 240
Not drafted
match 67
Noah SpenceNoah Spence
Class of 2012 · WDE · signed Ohio State
13 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-3, 235
Not drafted
match 67
Georgia logoRay Drew
Class of 2011 · SDE · signed Georgia
12 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-5, 250
Not drafted
match 66
Texas logoCedric Reed
Class of 2011 · SDE · signed Texas
7 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-5, 235
Not drafted
match 66
Jonathan Holland
Class of 2015 · WDE · signing not on record
4 offers from top-25 programs; Coey had 1; both about 6-4, 240
Not drafted
match 66
Past recruits whose offer boards looked most like his: same position, about the same size, offers from programs of the same strength, about as many. Past boards are offers at signing day; his is the board he holds today (Nov 2, 2026). Classes 2016 to 2026 are thin in our record today, so most matches come from 2010 to 2015. 10 of these 10 have finished their draft window. History, not a forecast for him.

Timeline

31 dated moves since Jan 25, 2025
Pittsburgh logoOfficial visit PittsburghJun 11
Houston logoOfficial visit HoustonJun 4
Tulsa logoOffered TulsaMay 19
Arizona logoOffered ArizonaApr 30
Boise State logoOffered Boise StateApr 30
Colorado State logoOffered Colorado StateApr 30
Cornell logoOffered CornellApr 30
Kansas logoOffered KansasApr 30
Show all 31 moves
New Mexico logoOffered New MexicoApr 30
New Mexico State logoOffered New Mexico StateApr 30
San Diego State logoOffered San Diego StateApr 30
UTEP logoOffered UTEPApr 30
UTSA logoOffered UTSAApr 30
Vanderbilt logoOffered VanderbiltApr 30
Pittsburgh logoOffered PittsburghApr 7
Wake Forest logoOffered Wake ForestFeb 24
North Texas logoOffered North TexasJan 30
Rice logoOffered RiceJan 30
Tulane logoOffered TulaneJan 30
Mississippi State logoOffered Mississippi StateJan 27
Northwestern logoOffered NorthwesternJan 27
Houston logoOffered HoustonJan 26
Michigan State logoOffered Michigan StateMay 8, 2025
Baylor logoOffered BaylorApr 29, 2025
Oregon State logoOffered Oregon StateFeb 4, 2025
Texas State logoOffered Texas StateJan 29, 2025
UNLV logoOffered UNLVJan 29, 2025
Sacramento State logoOffered Sacramento StateJan 28, 2025
Stanford logoOffered StanfordJan 27, 2025
Utah State logoOffered Utah StateJan 27, 2025
Duke logoOffered DukeJan 25, 2025
Newest first, from recruit posts and the national recruiting data. An offer with no posted date sits in the offers list only.
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