Falcons run game, 8th, against a run defense ranked 26th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Falcons with the ball
Falcons offenseSteelers defense
29th
Passing
14th
8th
Run game
26th
7th
Pass rush
17th
26th
Third down
8th
7th
Big plays
31st
30th
Turnovers
10th
4th
Red zone
5th
Steelers with the ball
Steelers offenseFalcons defense
28th
Passing
16th
3rd
Run game
8th
22nd
Pass rush
8th
28th
Third down
18th
20th
Big plays
16th
16th
Turnovers
32nd
17th
Red zone
19th
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 7 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Falcons scored 13 against a team total of 17: under.
Falcons scored 13 against a team total of 17: under. the spread and total, split.
Steelers scored 20 against a team total of 23.5: under. the spread and total, split.
Steelers have covered 2 of the last 2 meetings.
Steelers have covered 2 of the last 2 meetings
Last time, 2024 week 1: Steelers 18, Falcons 10, Steelers covered.
2-0against the spread
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Falcons in week 1 with the worse head coach by two tiers
129-91
this game200020052010201520202025
129 covered91 did notevery game since 1999, 59%; since 2021 36-14
The last time the Falcons were here, Sep 9, 2001: lost to the 49ers by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 220 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Falcons.
This week · Steelers with a total of 41 or under off a Monday night game against a first-year head coach
40-55
this game200020052010201520202025
40 covered55 did notevery game since 1999, 42%; since 2021 8-6
The last time the Steelers were here, Sep 15, 2002: lost to the OAK by 13 as a 4-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 95 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Falcons.
Searched this week: 1,157 spread situations and 92 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 3.92 on the spread and 3.37 on the total.
Rico Dowdle has 7 of his last 9 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.
Rico DowdleRBmissed, 15 rush yds
Rico Dowdle has 7 of his last 9 games at home with 50+ rushing yards. 7 of 27 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
7 of 9last 9
Jaylen WarrenRBmissed, 46 rush yds
Jaylen Warren has 7 of his last 9 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 12 of 39 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
7 of 9last 9
Aaron RodgersQBmissed, 1 pass TD
Aaron Rodgers has 7 of his last 9 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns. 8 of 23 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
7 of 9last 9
3 more player trends
Tua TagovailoaQB
Tua Tagovailoa has 7 of his last 10 games on the road outdoors with 2+ passing touchdowns. 15 of 37 everywhere else, 2023-2025.
7 of 10last 10
Drake LondonWRmissed, 29 rec yds
Drake London has 7 of his last 9 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards. 19 of 32 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
7 of 9last 9
Bijan RobinsonRBhit, 83 rush yds
Bijan Robinson has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards. 17 of 25 everywhere else, 2024-2025.
8 of 10last 10
No player line on this game was archived with a read.