New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
StickToTheModel
FreeBe a GM · run the cap, the cuts, the trades and the draft for your teamRun the team

Jaylen Warren

RB·Pittsburgh Steelers·#30·5'8"·215 lb·4th year·Oklahoma State
Tier 2Undrafted in 2022
Updated November 4, 2026
88.3
Model Score
Up from 87.7 last year
Trade value ·an early 2nd

Jaylen Warren has 119 carries for 704 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns and 25 catches for 294 yards in 8 games for the Pittsburgh Steelers this season through Week 8, 17.9 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

A career-high 88.3 this season, up from 87.7.

70809010088.320222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A pass-catching back whose breakout rests on one big year.

The case for

  • 41-spot rank jump from 2024 to 2025, the largest positive move on the RB board.
  • Career 167 receptions for 1,227 yards as a backfield receiver; the PPR floor lives off targets, not just carries.

The worry

  • Pre-2025 line was STTM #49 tier 8 and #24 tier 6; the 2025 jump sits on top of two unimpressive starting samples.
  • Only 12 career rushing TDs across four NFL seasons; the goal-line role has not been his to lose.

What to watch: Whether the carry share holds in 2026 once the touch leader question gets re-tested with a healthy depth chart.

Full take and bio

Warren's 2025 climb from STTM #49 tier 8 to #8 tier 2 is the largest year-over-year RB jump in the top fifteen. The career path (Snow College → undrafted → top-10 ranked back) is one of the most improbable on the board. The case is built on a single tier-2 year against a thin sample of starter-volume play.

Warren was born in Clinton, North Carolina and attended East High in Salt Lake City, where he set the Utah state single-season rushing record (3,099 yards) as a senior. He played at Snow College, Utah State, and Oklahoma State, then went undrafted in 2022 and signed with the Steelers. He climbed from undrafted free agent to STTM #8 tier 2 in 2025, with three NFL seasons of starter-or-rotation work.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: James Brooks, Charlie Garner, Tiki Barber. Built like: Devonta Freeman, Domanick Williams, Mike Davis. Coming out: Kenneth Darby, Zac Stacy, Mark Walton.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 0 stars, 1 starter, 11 backups, 8 didn't stick.

Jaylen Warren Props This Weekvs CLE

MarketLineOverUnder
Rushing yards65.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Receptions2.5-165 Bovada+125 Bovada
Receiving yards22.5-110 Bovada-120 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jaylen's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jaylen Warren Injury StatusNot listed

Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rush Yds7046th
Rush TD224th
Rec256th
Rec Yds2942nd
Total TD320th
Fantasy PPG17.910th
EPA / rush0.1283rd
Rush yds over exp2222nd
Efficiency3.28
Time to line2.80s

17.9 fantasy points a game, 143 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$7.0M
APY
$6.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$11.8M
Years on Deal
3
Signed
2025
Est. Value
$6.1M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Jaylen Warren at RB13 (the public consensus says RB12); the model has 137 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts CLE.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Undrafted in 2022, out of Oklahoma State (Big 12).

In college, 2019-2021, 24 games: 1,683 rush yds, 13 TD, 4.8 yds/carry, 38 rec.

Related Tools & Pages