New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
FreeWhat's your angle? · type any trend and see its record in every NFL game since 1999Test an angle
Week 1 · Wednesday Sep 9 · Final

PatriotsatSeahawks

FinalNE 10, SEA 13Seahawks by 3
SpreadSEA -3a push
Total44.5stayed under, 23 points
OpenedSEA -3.5moved 0.5 points by kickoff

The run game. Expect the Patriots to give up on the run early.

Sunday: Patriots ran for 109 yards on 31 carries.

The model's reads, Over 44.5: it lost.

The depth charts as they stand today.

Seahawks run defense, 1st, against a run game ranked 23rd.

Longer bar, better unit.

Patriots with the ball

Patriots offenseSeahawks defense
7th
Passing
2nd
23rd
Run game
1st
12th
Pass rush
2nd
17th
Third down
3rd
15th
Big plays
1st
29th
Turnovers
2nd
20th
Red zone
32nd

Seahawks with the ball

Seahawks offensePatriots defense
21st
Passing
22nd
32nd
Run game
13th
32nd
Pass rush
10th
32nd
Third down
5th
11th
Big plays
24th
31st
Turnovers
21st
12th
Red zone
13th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 7 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.

Patriots scored 10 against a team total of 20.75: under.

Patriots scored 10 against a team total of 20.75: under. the spread and total, split.

Seahawks scored 13 against a team total of 23.75: under. the spread and total, split.

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Patriots with an elite quarterback two or more time zones from home with the line on 3
57-38
this game200020052010201520202025
57 covered38 did notevery game since 1999, 60%; since 2021 15-6

The last time the Patriots were here, Sep 29, 2002: lost to the SD by 7 as a 3-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 95 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Patriots.

This week · Seahawks on a three-game cover streak in the first four weeks with an elite quarterback
46-62
this game200020052010201520202025
46 covered62 did notevery game since 1999, 43%; since 2021 9-13

The last time the Seahawks were here, Sep 7, 2003: beat the Saints by 17 as a 3-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 108 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Patriots.

This week · Patriots against a team on a three-game cover streak with an elite quarterback after traveling 1,500 miles or more
34-23
this game200020052010201520202025
34 covered23 did notevery game since 1999, 60%; since 2021 10-3

The last time the Patriots were here, Sep 29, 2002: lost to the SD by 7 as a 3-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 57 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Patriots.

This week · The total in week 1 with the spread on 3
33-48
this game200020052010201520202025
33 went over48 stayed underevery game since 1999, 41%; since 2021 11-8

Inside the luck line: 81 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.

Searched this week: 1,157 spread situations and 92 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 3.92 on the spread and 3.37 on the total.

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Nothing was on the official card for this game.