Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Seattle Seahawks·#11Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
Smith-Njigba's climb from STTM #64 tier 8 as a rookie to #17 tier 3 to #2 tier 1 with a 2025 OPOY is the most aggressive two-year trajectory at the position. The 2025 statistical sweep (yards leader + 1st-team AP + ring + OPOY) is the highest single-season honors total any WR posted this cycle. Career 3,551 yards on 282 catches at 12.6 YPC in three years is an efficiency profile that climbs every year.
Smith-Njigba was born in Nacogdoches, Texas, raised in Rockwall, and played three years at Ohio State where he set the school's single-season record for receiving yards (1,606) and won the 2022 Rose Bowl Offensive MVP. Seattle took him 20th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. His 2025 season was historic: NFL receiving yards leader (1,793 yards on 119 catches, a Seahawks franchise record), first-team All-Pro, NFL Offensive Player of the Year, and Super Bowl LX champion.
Strengths
- 2025 NFL OPOY plus the league receiving yards crown (1,793) plus a Super Bowl LX ring; the trophy case is one-of-one this year.
- Three-tier improvement across his first three years (tier 8 → tier 3 → tier 1); the climb is monotonic.
Concerns
- Sam Darnold's tier-4 QB rank shows the offense around him is volatile; the 2025 case may not survive a QB regression.
- 12.6 career YPC is below the elite tier (Nacua, Chase, AJ Brown all higher); the value still lives on volume, not depth-of-target.
What to watch: Whether the 2025 1,793-yard line was a Super Bowl-driven outlier or the new baseline; the YPC efficiency case is the cleaner long-term tell.
Comps
Names you know nearby: CeeDee Lamb ’20 69%, Jeremy Maclin ’09 65%.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 6 starters, 9 backups, 1 didn't stick.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Props This Weekvs SF Sun Oct 11
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 6.5 | -123 BetOnline | +101 DraftKings |
| Receiving yards | 91.5 | -114 DraftKings | -110 DraftKings |
| Longest reception | 24.5 | -118 DraftKings | -109 BetRivers |
| Anytime TD | -105 DraftKings |
Best price across 9 books as of Fri Oct 9. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Injury StatusNot listed
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is not on the injury report as of Oct 9. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Stats This Season · 4 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Fantasy Outlook
Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored 117 PPR points, 29.2 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.