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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR·Seattle Seahawks·#11·6'0"·198 lb·3rd year·Ohio State
Tier 1Round 1, pick 20 in 2023
Updated November 6, 2026
91.7
Model Score
Down from 96.0 last year
Trade value ·a top-10 pick

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 64 catches, 985 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns in 8 games for the Seattle Seahawks this season through Week 8, 27.5 PPR points a game (updated November 6, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 4.3 from last season.

70809010091.72023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A volume-driven superstar with the year's biggest trophy case.

The case for

  • 2025 NFL OPOY plus the league receiving yards crown (1,793) plus a Super Bowl LX ring; the trophy case is one-of-one this year.
  • Three-tier improvement across his first three years (tier 8 → tier 3 → tier 1); the climb is monotonic.

The worry

  • Sam Darnold's tier-4 QB rank shows the offense around him is volatile; the 2025 case may not survive a QB regression.
  • 12.6 career YPC is below the elite tier (Nacua, Chase, AJ Brown all higher); the value still lives on volume, not depth-of-target.

What to watch: Whether the 2025 1,793-yard line was a Super Bowl-driven outlier or the new baseline; the YPC efficiency case is the cleaner long-term tell.

Full take and bio

Smith-Njigba's climb from STTM #64 tier 8 as a rookie to #17 tier 3 to #2 tier 1 with a 2025 OPOY is the most aggressive two-year trajectory at the position. The 2025 statistical sweep (yards leader + 1st-team AP + ring + OPOY) is the highest single-season honors total any WR posted this cycle. Career 3,551 yards on 282 catches at 12.6 YPC in three years is an efficiency profile that climbs every year.

Smith-Njigba was born in Nacogdoches, Texas, raised in Rockwall, and played three years at Ohio State where he set the school's single-season record for receiving yards (1,606) and won the 2022 Rose Bowl Offensive MVP. Seattle took him 20th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. His 2025 season was historic: NFL receiving yards leader (1,793 yards on 119 catches, a Seahawks franchise record), first-team All-Pro, NFL Offensive Player of the Year, and Super Bowl LX champion.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Cooper Kupp, Tyreek Hill, Jerry Rice. Built like: Luke McCaffrey, Trishton Jackson, Mike Woods. Coming out: Justin Jefferson, Austin Collie, Greg Salas.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 6 starters, 9 backups, 1 didn't stick.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Props This Weekvs ARI Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions7.5+110 DraftKings-140 DraftKings
Receiving yards93.5-111 DraftKings-113 DraftKings
Anytime TD-125 FanDuel

Best price across 9 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jaxon's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Injury StatusNot listed

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is not on the injury report as of Nov 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rec641st
Rec Yds9851st
Rec TD91st
Targets892nd
Yds/Gm123.11st
Fantasy PPG27.51st
EPA / target1.4487th
Avg separation2.7 yd35th
Avg cushion5.7 yd
YAC over exp1.112th
Catch %72.0%

27.5 fantasy points a game, 220 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$10.4M
APY
$42.1M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$69.1M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$34.4M/yr
overpaid by $7.8M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Jaxon Smith-Njigba at WR1; the model has 179 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts ARI.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 20 to the Seattle Seahawks in 2023, out of Ohio State (Big Ten). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#20
Consensus board19th
Our college model#44 WR

In college, 2020-2021, 19 games: 105 rec, 1,654 yds, 10 TD, 15.8 yds/rec. (partial record)

Recruited

Class of 2020 · Receiver · High school: Rockwall, TX

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 29 in the nation. Composite 0.9855, the recruiting sites' average
Offer strength, our grade
88 of 100
Better offers than 99% of the 2020 class. How it is made
Offers
20
Schools that offered him a scholarship
Committed to
Ohio State

His offer board, and the recruits whose boards look like it now →

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