Chiefs run game, 1st, against a run defense ranked 31st.
Longer bar, better unit.
Colts with the ball
Colts offenseChiefs defense
22nd
Passing
11th
2nd
Run game
9th
11th
Pass rush
24th
13th
Third down
21st
14th
Big plays
9th
24th
Turnovers
9th
12th
Red zone
2nd
Chiefs with the ball
Chiefs offenseColts defense
11th
Passing
24th
1st
Run game
31st
5th
Pass rush
28th
11th
Third down
7th
2nd
Big plays
14th
12th
Turnovers
27th
16th
Red zone
17th
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Colts scored 30 against a team total of 20.25: over.
Colts scored 30 against a team total of 20.25: over. the spread and total, split.
Chiefs scored 33 against a team total of 26.25: over. the spread and total, split.
Chiefs have gone under 20 of 27 as a home favorite in prime time.
Chiefs have gone under 20 of 27 as a home favorite in prime timemissed, 63 points
55 of 109 everywhere else, 2018-2026, Reid and Mahomes · points to Under 46.5
20 of 27in this spot
Colts have gone over 5 of 7 with extra resthit, 63 points
28 of 49 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new QB in 2025 · points to Over 46.5
5 of 7in this spot
Colts have covered 2 of the last 2 meetings
Last time, 2025 week 12: Colts 20, Chiefs 23, Colts covered.
2-0against the spread
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Chiefs after winning by 14 or more in the first four weeks with a head coach in year eight or later with the team
27-46
this game200020052010201520202025
27 covered46 did notevery game since 1999, 37%; since 2021 3-15
The last time the Chiefs were here, Sep 20, 2020: beat the Chargers by 3 as a 8.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 73 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Colts.
This week · Colts after losing by 14 or more in prime time in the first four weeks
33-19
this game200020052010201520202025
33 covered19 did notevery game since 1999, 63%; since 2021 10-4
The last time the Colts were here, Sep 20, 2026: lost to the Chiefs by 3 as a 6-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 52 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Colts.
This week · Chiefs off a Monday night game in the first four weeks with the worse head coach by two tiers
20-32
this game200020052010201520202025
20 covered32 did notevery game since 1999, 38%; since 2021 4-10
The last time the Chiefs were here, Oct 2, 2005: lost to the Eagles by 6 as a 2.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 52 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Colts.
Searched this week: 1,401 spread situations and 79 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.01 on the spread and 3.21 on the total.
Kenneth Walker III has 8 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
Kenneth Walker IIIRBhit, 117 rush yds
Kenneth Walker III has 8 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 17 of 33 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
8 of 9last 9
Travis KelceTEhit, 101 rec yds
Travis Kelce has 6 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards. 11 of 21 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
6 of 9last 9
Patrick MahomesQBhit, 382 pass yds
Patrick Mahomes has 6 of his last 9 games at home with 250+ passing yards. 18 of 32 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
6 of 9last 9
No player line on this game was archived with a read.
Colts with the ball
Chiefs with the ball
