Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City ChiefsPatrick Mahomes has 1,795 passing yards, 12 touchdown passes, 4 interceptions and 77 rushing yards in 7 games for the Kansas City Chiefs this season through Week 8, 17.9 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).
Model Score by season
Up 7.7 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A playoff legend whose regular-season case has flattened.
The case for
- Career 286.8 passing yards per game is an NFL record, and his postseason resume has no current parallel.
- Tier 3 floor through three years post-peak is still better than half the league's ceiling.
The worry
- Three straight years at STTM #9 tier 3 means the regular-season volume case is flat, not improving with the new pass-catcher rebuild.
- Pass-catcher room has churned over multiple offseasons and the YPA hasn't recovered toward his 2018-2022 levels.
What to watch: Whether the latest KC pass-catcher rebuild finally lifts depth-of-target back toward his peak years, because the rushing component cannot carry the rank.
Full take and bio
Mahomes has now finished STTM #9 tier 3 three years in a row, which is the same tier as his 2023 line and well off his back-to-back #1/#2 peak. The Chiefs' regular-season passing profile has genuinely compressed; the postseason ceiling is what it has always been, but rankings are built off regular-season volume and that part has flattened. The case for him as the top QB now lives entirely in January.
Mahomes was born in Tyler, Texas and went to Texas Tech, where he led the FBS in passing yards and total touchdowns and won the Sammy Baugh Trophy. Kansas City took him tenth overall in 2017, and he became the starter in 2018 after the Alex Smith trade. He owns three Super Bowl titles, three Super Bowl MVPs, two regular-season MVPs (2018, 2022), six Pro Bowls, and the NFL career record for passing yards per game at 286.8. He led the Chiefs to seven straight AFC Championship Games before falling short of a three-peat in Super Bowl LIX.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Matt Ryan, Sam Darnold, Jared Goff. Built like: John Beck, Drew Stanton, Logan Woodside. Coming out: Dak Prescott, Drew Stanton, Kellen Clemens.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 3 starters, 10 backups, 6 didn't stick.
Patrick Mahomes Props This Weekat DEN
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 223.5 | -115 Bovada | -115 Bovada |
| Rushing yards | 13.5 | -120 Bovada | -110 Bovada |
Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Patrick's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Patrick Mahomes Injury StatusNot listed
Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 7 games
17.9 fantasy points a game, 126 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
This week he visits DEN, projecting 17.6 points a game from here.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 10 to the Kansas City Chiefs in 2017, out of Texas Tech (Big 12). He went earlier than consensus.
In college, 2014-2015, 20 games: 5,820 pass yds, 53 TD, 16 INT, 59.1% completions. (partial record) Coming out: 4.8s 40 yd, 30" vertical, 114" broad, 6.88s 3-cone, 4.08s shuttle.
Recruited
Class of 2014 · Quarterback · High school: Whitehouse, TX
Texas TechHis full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2014 class are still being added.