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Kenneth Walker III

RB·Kansas City Chiefs·#9·5'9"·210 lb·4th year·Michigan State
Tier 1Round 2, pick 41 in 2022
Updated November 5, 2026
82.6
Model Score
Down from 85.0 last year
Trade value ·an early 2nd

Kenneth Walker III has 141 carries for 770 yards, 6 rushing touchdowns and 22 catches for 131 yards in 7 games for the Kansas City Chiefs this season through Week 8, 22.9 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 2.4 from last season.

70809082.620222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A postseason hero whose regular seasons lag the resume.

The case for

  • Super Bowl LX MVP for Seattle in the 2025 season; the postseason ceiling is one of one in this rank range.
  • 133 career catches for 1,005 yards across four seasons; the pass-game role is real, not a one-year sample.

The worry

  • 4.3 career YPC is mid-pack and never crossed 1,100 yards in any Seattle season.
  • Regular-season STTM rank has been tier 6 or worse every year despite the explosive ceiling.

What to watch: Whether Kansas City's run-heavy looks unlock a 1,200-yard floor in 2026 alongside Mahomes; the system fit is the bullish case.

Full take and bio

Walker at STTM #27 tier 7 in his final Seattle year carries the rare profile of a Super Bowl MVP whose regular-season rank lags the resume. The 2025 trophy is the entire case; the rank reflects four years of a 4.3 career YPC and a touch-share that never crossed 215 carries. The Kansas City move puts him into a system designed for a tier-2 ceiling.

Walker was born in Arlington, Tennessee, attended Arlington High, played at Wake Forest for two years, transferred to Michigan State, and won the 2021 Walter Camp and Doak Walker Awards as a unanimous All-American. The Seahawks took him 41st overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. He was Super Bowl LX MVP for Seattle in the 2025 season and signed with Kansas City for 2026. Career line is 3,555 rushing yards at 4.3 YPC, 29 rushing TDs, and 133 catches for 1,005 yards.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Terrell Davis, Barry Sanders, Saquon Barkley. Built like: Roy Helu, Tykevious Chandler, Damien Williams. Coming out: Javon Ringer, Jeremy McNichols, Doug Martin.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 2 starters, 13 backups, 2 didn't stick.

Kenneth Walker III Props This Weekvs NYJ Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Anytime TD-250 BetMGM

Best price across 8 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Kenneth's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Kenneth Walker III Injury StatusNot listed

Kenneth Walker III is not on the injury report as of Nov 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 7 games

Rush Yds7703rd
Rush TD68th
Rec2211th
Rec Yds13116th
Total TD85th
Fantasy PPG22.92nd
EPA / rush0.0755th
Rush yds over exp2481st
Efficiency3.89
Time to line2.83s

22.9 fantasy points a game, 160 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$5.7M
APY
$14.3M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$28.7M
Years on Deal
3
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$7.4M/yr
overpaid by $7.0M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Kenneth Walker III at RB3 (the public consensus says RB4); the model has 170 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts NYJ.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 41 to the Seattle Seahawks in 2022, out of Michigan State (Big Ten).

Taken#41
Our college model#109 RB

In college, 2019-2021, 31 games: 2,752 rush yds, 35 TD, 5.9 yds/carry, 19 rec.

Recruited

Class of 2019 · Running back · High school: Arlington, TN

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 2,111 in the nation. Composite 0.8159, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.

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