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PlayerKenneth Walker III · RB, Kansas City Chiefs, Model Score 83.1Be the Chiefs GM

Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs·#9
Pos RBHt 5'9"Wt 210 lbExp 4 yrCollege Michigan State
Updated October 12, 2026
Compare Kenneth Walker III RB rankings →

Model Score

83.1 MODEL
2022
81.5
2023
84.5
2024
79.3
2025
85.0
2026
83.1

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Walker at STTM #27 tier 7 in his final Seattle year carries the rare profile of a Super Bowl MVP whose regular-season rank lags the resume. The 2025 trophy is the entire case; the rank reflects four years of a 4.3 career YPC and a touch-share that never crossed 215 carries. The Kansas City move puts him into a system designed for a tier-2 ceiling.

Walker was born in Arlington, Tennessee, attended Arlington High, played at Wake Forest for two years, transferred to Michigan State, and won the 2021 Walter Camp and Doak Walker Awards as a unanimous All-American. The Seahawks took him 41st overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. He was Super Bowl LX MVP for Seattle in the 2025 season and signed with Kansas City for 2026. Career line is 3,555 rushing yards at 4.3 YPC, 29 rushing TDs, and 133 catches for 1,005 yards.

Strengths

  • Super Bowl LX MVP for Seattle in the 2025 season; the postseason ceiling is one of one in this rank range.
  • 133 career catches for 1,005 yards across four seasons; the pass-game role is real, not a one-year sample.

Concerns

  • 4.3 career YPC is mid-pack and never crossed 1,100 yards in any Seattle season.
  • Regular-season STTM rank has been tier 6 or worse every year despite the explosive ceiling.

What to watch: Whether Kansas City's run-heavy looks unlock a 1,200-yard floor in 2026 alongside Mahomes; the system fit is the bullish case.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Jonathan Taylor ’2552%Dalvin Cook ’2050%LaDainian Tomlinson ’0648%
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 5)
Barry Sanders ’9473%Terrell Davis ’9867%Emmitt Smith ’9363%
Plays like
on-field production only
Barry Sanders ’9473%Saquon Barkley ’2468%Terrell Davis ’9867%
Built like
measurables only, his size
Roy Helu84%Tykevious Chandler83%Damien Williams82%
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his
Javon Ringer ’0968%Jeremy McNichols ’1767%Doug Martin ’1266%

Names you know nearby: Mark Ingram ’11 66%, Knowshon Moreno ’09 63%.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 2 starters, 13 backups, 2 didn't stick.

Kenneth Walker III Injury StatusNot listed

Kenneth Walker III is not on the injury report as of Oct 11. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Kenneth Walker III Stats This Season · 4 games

5371st
Rush Yds
45th
Rush TD
1211th
Rec
8411th
Rec Yds
63rd
Total TD
27.52nd
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

0.1123rd
EPA / rush
2121st
Rush yds over exp
3.32
Efficiency
2.73s
Time to line

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 41 · Seattle Seahawks · 2022
Michigan State (Big Ten)
Taken
#41
where he actually went
Our college model
#109
among RB in our college data
In college · 2019-2021 · 31 games
2,752 rush yds, 35 TD, 5.9 yds/carry, 19 rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Kenneth Walker III Fantasy Outlook

Kenneth Walker III scored 110 PPR points, 27.5 per game this season. Compare him against any RB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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