Chiefs run game, 2nd, against a run defense ranked 32nd.
Longer bar, better unit.
Chiefs with the ball
Chiefs offenseDolphins defense
10th
Passing
30th
2nd
Run game
32nd
19th
Pass rush
20th
12th
Third down
32nd
3rd
Big plays
21st
8th
Turnovers
13th
13th
Red zone
14th
Dolphins with the ball
Dolphins offenseChiefs defense
21st
Passing
17th
19th
Run game
7th
5th
Pass rush
30th
10th
Third down
21st
22nd
Big plays
11th
27th
Turnovers
16th
23rd
Red zone
3rd
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Chiefs scored 24 against a team total of 27.75: under.
Chiefs scored 24 against a team total of 27.75: under. the spread and total, split.
Dolphins scored 10 against a team total of 17.75: under. the spread and total, split.
Chiefs have gone over 15 of 20 as a favorite of 7 or more on the road.
Chiefs have gone over 15 of 20 as a favorite of 7 or more on the roadmissed, 34 points
48 of 119 everywhere else, 2018-2026, Reid and Mahomes · points to Over 45.5
15 of 20in this spot
Chiefs have covered 2 of the last 3 meetings
Last time, 2023 week 19: Dolphins 7, Chiefs 26, Chiefs covered.
2-1against the spread
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Dolphins after three straight misses against the spread in the first four weeks with a bottom-tier quarterback
38-21
this game200020052010201520202025
38 covered21 did notevery game since 1999, 64%; since 2021 9-6
The last time the Dolphins were here, Sep 22, 2019: lost to the Cowboys by 25 as a 22-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 59 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Dolphins.
This week · Chiefs as a favorite of 7 or more against a team that has missed three straight covers with the worse head coach by two tiers
36-21
this game200020052010201520202025
36 covered21 did notevery game since 1999, 63%; since 2021 10-7
The last time the Chiefs were here, Dec 1, 2002: beat the Cardinals by 49 as a 9-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 57 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Chiefs.
This week · Dolphins after three straight misses against the spread with the worse quarterback by two tiers with a head coach in his first 17 games
70-50
this game200020052010201520202025
70 covered50 did notevery game since 1999, 58%; since 2021 13-13
The last time the Dolphins were here, Oct 30, 2005: beat the Saints by 15 as a 2-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 120 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Dolphins.
Searched this week: 1,571 spread situations and 77 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.03 on the spread and 3.35 on the total.
Kenneth Walker III has 8 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
Kenneth Walker IIIRBhit, 70 rush yds
Kenneth Walker III has 8 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 18 of 35 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
Chiefs with the ball
Dolphins with the ball
