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PlayerDevin Lloyd · LB, Carolina Panthers, Model Score 80.2Be the Panthers GM

Devin Lloyd

Carolina Panthers
Pos LB
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

80.2 MODEL
2022
77.3
2023
79.3
2024
82.6
2025
79.0
2026
80.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 2 (#13) 2024 breakout plus tier 3 (#22) 2025 finish puts Lloyd in the stable mid-prime LB class with structural top-20 ceiling. The Utah Pac-12 27th overall draft pedigree plus four years of Jaguars structural anchor reps gives him real career foundation. The 2026 question is whether Lloyd earns his first Pro Bowl plus returns to tier 2 territory or whether the structural tier 3 finish becomes the stable baseline.

Lloyd came out of Utah as the Jacksonville Jaguars' 1st-round pick (27th overall) in 2022 after being a 2021 Butkus Award finalist. He has anchored the Jaguars' linebacker corps across four seasons. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#34) rookie, tier 2 (#13) in 2024, and tier 3 (#22) in 2025.

Strengths

  • Utah Pac-12 2021 Butkus Award finalist plus the 27th overall draft slot plus the 2024 tier 2 (#13) breakout establishes structural top-15 LB ceiling.
  • Four years of Jaguars structural anchor reps plus the consistent tier 2-3 finishes gives him real veteran market value.

Concerns

  • 9-spot regression from tier 2 (#13) in 2024 to tier 3 (#22) in 2025 flags the 2024 finish as potentially context-driven.
  • Jacksonville's broader defensive identity instability puts continued Lloyd production partly outside his control.

What to watch: Whether Lloyd earns his first Pro Bowl in 2026 plus returns to tier 2 (top 15), the threshold for confirming the 2024 ceiling was structural.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 4)
Built like
measurables only, his size
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 3 starters, 10 backups, 4 didn't stick.

Devin Lloyd Injury StatusNot listed

Devin Lloyd is not on the injury report as of Oct 8. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Devin Lloyd Stats This Season · 3 games

20
Solo Tackles
3
TFL
1
Sacks
2
INT
3
Pass Deflections
0
FF

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 27 · Jacksonville Jaguars · 2022
Utah (Pac-12)
Taken
#27
where he actually went
Our college model
#6
among LB in our college data
In college · 2019-2021 · 31 games
239 tackles, 41 TFL, 16.5 sacks, 5 INT

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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