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PlayerRoquan Smith · LB, Baltimore Ravens, Model Score 96.0Be the Ravens GM

Roquan Smith

Baltimore RavensOVERPAID
Pos LB
Updated October 9, 2026

Model Score

96.0 MODEL
2018
85.4
2019
85.4
2020
99.0
2021
96.0
2022
99.0
2023
91.7
2024
85.4
2025
81.5
2026
96.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Two Pro Bowls plus two 1st-team All-Pros plus the 2017 Butkus Award plus the 2022 tier 1 (#3) STTM peak establishes Smith as one of the best linebackers of his generation. The 2025 tier 6 (#41) regression from tier 3 (#21) in 2024 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike. The 2026 question is whether Smith returns to tier 2 territory or whether the structural late-prime decline reasserts.

Smith came out of Georgia as the Chicago Bears' 1st-round pick (8th overall) in 2018 after winning the 2017 Butkus Award. He was traded to the Baltimore Ravens in 2022 and has made two Pro Bowls (2022, 2023) plus earned two 1st-team All-Pro selections (2022, 2024). His STTM career runs tier 1 (#2) in 2021, tier 1 (#3) peak in 2022, tier 5 (#33) in 2023, tier 3 (#21) in 2024, and tier 6 (#41) in 2025.

Strengths

  • Two Pro Bowls plus two 1st-team All-Pros plus 2017 Butkus Award plus the 2022 tier 1 (#3) STTM peak establishes a top-tier LB résumé.
  • Georgia 8th overall draft pedigree plus eight years of NFL starter reps gives him real Hall-of-Fame trajectory.

Concerns

  • 20-spot regression from tier 3 (#21) in 2024 to tier 6 (#41) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike.
  • Baltimore's broader defensive identity around the Linderbaum-Madubuike multi-position investment compresses the structural support around Smith.

What to watch: Whether Smith returns to tier 2 (top 15) in 2026 plus earns his third Pro Bowl, the threshold for confirming the 2025 collapse was situational.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 8)
Built like
measurables only, his size
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Of his 20 closest coming out: 2 stars, 2 starters, 10 backups, 6 didn't stick.

Roquan Smith Injury StatusNot listed

Roquan Smith is not on the injury report as of Oct 8. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Roquan Smith Stats This Season · 4 games

11
Solo Tackles
1
TFL
1
Sacks
1
INT
1
Pass Deflections
1
FF

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 8 · Chicago Bears · 2018
Georgia (SEC)
Taken
#8
where he actually went
Consensus board
9th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#145
among LB in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2016-2017 · 25 games · partial record
220 tackles, 18 TFL, 6.5 sacks

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
4.51s
40 yd

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