Roquan Smith
Baltimore RavensOVERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 15 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Two Pro Bowls plus two 1st-team All-Pros plus the 2017 Butkus Award plus the 2022 tier 1 (#3) STTM peak establishes Smith as one of the best linebackers of his generation. The 2025 tier 6 (#41) regression from tier 3 (#21) in 2024 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike. The 2026 question is whether Smith returns to tier 2 territory or whether the structural late-prime decline reasserts.
Smith came out of Georgia as the Chicago Bears' 1st-round pick (8th overall) in 2018 after winning the 2017 Butkus Award. He was traded to the Baltimore Ravens in 2022 and has made two Pro Bowls (2022, 2023) plus earned two 1st-team All-Pro selections (2022, 2024). His STTM career runs tier 1 (#2) in 2021, tier 1 (#3) peak in 2022, tier 5 (#33) in 2023, tier 3 (#21) in 2024, and tier 6 (#41) in 2025.
Strengths
- Two Pro Bowls plus two 1st-team All-Pros plus 2017 Butkus Award plus the 2022 tier 1 (#3) STTM peak establishes a top-tier LB résumé.
- Georgia 8th overall draft pedigree plus eight years of NFL starter reps gives him real Hall-of-Fame trajectory.
Concerns
- 20-spot regression from tier 3 (#21) in 2024 to tier 6 (#41) in 2025 flags either injury, scheme shift, or one-year context spike.
- Baltimore's broader defensive identity around the Linderbaum-Madubuike multi-position investment compresses the structural support around Smith.
What to watch: Whether Smith returns to tier 2 (top 15) in 2026 plus earns his third Pro Bowl, the threshold for confirming the 2025 collapse was situational.