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PlayerGervon Dexter · IDL, Atlanta Falcons, Model Score 84.0Be the Falcons GM

Gervon Dexter

Atlanta FalconsUNDERPAID
Pos IDL
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

84.0 MODEL
2023
74.6
2024
83.1
2025
89.0
2026
84.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Tier 5 (#40) rookie to tier 3 (#18) sophomore to tier 2 (#9) in 2025 is a 31-spot three-year STTM climb that puts Dexter on the fastest interior defender development pace for a 2nd-round pick. The Florida 2022 SEC DL of the Year award plus the Bears' position-specific coaching gives him real college foundation. The 2026 question is whether Dexter earns his first Pro Bowl plus crosses into tier 1 territory or whether the 2025 finish stabilizes at the top-15 IDL ceiling.

Dexter came out of Florida as the Chicago Bears' 2nd-round pick (53rd overall) in 2023 after winning the 2022 SEC Defensive Lineman of the Year. The Bears installed him in the interior rotation as a rookie. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#40) rookie, tier 3 (#18) sophomore, and tier 2 (#9) in 2025, a clean three-year developmental climb.

Strengths

  • Three-year STTM developmental arc tier 5 (#40) to tier 2 (#9) for a 53rd overall pick puts him on the fastest IDL development pace.
  • Florida 2022 SEC DL of the Year award plus the 2nd-round draft slot gives him real elite college pedigree.

Concerns

  • First tier 2 finish without prior top-15 STTM history raises the question of whether the 2025 jump is structural or one-year context.
  • Chicago's broader defensive identity around the multi-year rebuild compresses the structural support around Dexter's continued elite production.

What to watch: Whether Dexter earns his first Pro Bowl in 2026 plus crosses into tier 1 (top 10), the threshold for confirming the developmental climb continues.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Plays like
on-field production only
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Gervon Dexter Injury StatusNot listed

Gervon Dexter is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Gervon Dexter Stats This Season · 3 games

0.5
Sacks
4
Pressures
2
QB Hits
0
TFL
7
Tackles
0
FF

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 53 · Chicago Bears · 2023
Florida (SEC)
Taken
#53
where he actually went
Consensus board
54th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#14
among IDL in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2020-2022 · 35 games
5.0 sacks, 10 TFL, 17 pressures, 120 tackles

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

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