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PlayerGrady Jarrett · IDL, Chicago Bears, Model Score 82.2Be the Bears GM

Grady Jarrett

Chicago Bears
Pos IDL
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

82.2 MODEL
2018
88.3
2019
93.0
2020
88.3
2021
78.0
2022
88.3
2023
73.4
2024
81.5
2025
74.2
2026
82.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Two Pro Bowls plus Super Bowl LI 3-sack performance plus 11 years of NFL survival as a 5th-round pick puts Jarrett in the rarest outlier-positive draft-slot-vs-outcome class at the position. The Clemson ACC origin plus the Atlanta chapter establishes the career résumé. The 2026 question is whether Jarrett holds tier 5 or better at age 33 with Chicago or whether the structural late-career decline closes the elite chapter.

Jarrett came out of Clemson as the Atlanta Falcons' 5th-round pick (137th overall) in 2015 and made two Pro Bowls (2019, 2022). He recorded 3 sacks in Super Bowl LI for Atlanta. He spent 10 years in Atlanta before signing with the Chicago Bears in 2025. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#37) in 2021, tier 3 (#19) in 2022 Pro Bowl, tier 4 (#31) in 2023, tier 3 (#22) in 2024, and tier 6 (#43) in 2025.

Strengths

  • Two Pro Bowls plus Super Bowl LI 3-sack performance plus 11 years of NFL survival as a 5th-round pick establishes outlier-positive career résumé.
  • Career STTM range mostly tier 3-5 across the past five years confirms structural starter ceiling existed across multiple Atlanta coaching transitions.

Concerns

  • 21-spot regression from tier 3 (#22) in 2024 to tier 6 (#43) in 2025 confirms the structural late-career decline plus the change-of-scenery context.
  • Age 33 plus 11 years of interior-line wear puts the late-career closure question on every 2026 projection.

What to watch: Whether Jarrett holds tier 5 or better in 2026 with Chicago, the threshold for confirming the late-prime ceiling holds.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Plays like
on-field production only
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Grady Jarrett Injury StatusNot listed

Grady Jarrett is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Grady Jarrett Stats This Season · 3 games

0
Sacks
3
Pressures
1
QB Hits
0
TFL
6
Tackles
0
FF

Draft & College

Round 5, pick 137 · Atlanta Falcons · 2015
Clemson (ACC)
Taken
#137
where he actually went
Consensus board
129th
average of the public big boards that spring

He went about where consensus had him.

Coming out
5.06s
40 yd
30 reps
Bench
31"
Vertical
112"
Broad
7.37s
3-cone
4.56s
Shuttle

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