Grady Jarrett
Chicago BearsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 14 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Comps
STM Take
Two Pro Bowls plus Super Bowl LI 3-sack performance plus 11 years of NFL survival as a 5th-round pick puts Jarrett in the rarest outlier-positive draft-slot-vs-outcome class at the position. The Clemson ACC origin plus the Atlanta chapter establishes the career résumé. The 2026 question is whether Jarrett holds tier 5 or better at age 33 with Chicago or whether the structural late-career decline closes the elite chapter.
Jarrett came out of Clemson as the Atlanta Falcons' 5th-round pick (137th overall) in 2015 and made two Pro Bowls (2019, 2022). He recorded 3 sacks in Super Bowl LI for Atlanta. He spent 10 years in Atlanta before signing with the Chicago Bears in 2025. His STTM career runs tier 5 (#37) in 2021, tier 3 (#19) in 2022 Pro Bowl, tier 4 (#31) in 2023, tier 3 (#22) in 2024, and tier 6 (#43) in 2025.
Strengths
- Two Pro Bowls plus Super Bowl LI 3-sack performance plus 11 years of NFL survival as a 5th-round pick establishes outlier-positive career résumé.
- Career STTM range mostly tier 3-5 across the past five years confirms structural starter ceiling existed across multiple Atlanta coaching transitions.
Concerns
- 21-spot regression from tier 3 (#22) in 2024 to tier 6 (#43) in 2025 confirms the structural late-career decline plus the change-of-scenery context.
- Age 33 plus 11 years of interior-line wear puts the late-career closure question on every 2026 projection.
What to watch: Whether Jarrett holds tier 5 or better in 2026 with Chicago, the threshold for confirming the late-prime ceiling holds.