Harrison Smith
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 15 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
STM Take
Six Pro Bowls plus 2017 1st-team All-Pro plus 14 years at one team plus the Notre Dame 29th overall draft pedigree establishes Smith as one of the all-time-great safeties of his generation. The 2026 question is whether Smith extends through age 37 or whether the structural late-career closure finally takes hold.
Smith came out of Notre Dame as the Minnesota Vikings' 1st-round pick (29th overall) in 2012. He has made six Pro Bowls (2015, 2017, 2019-2022) plus earned 2017 1st-team All-Pro recognition. He has been a one-team player for 14 NFL seasons and is widely considered a Hall-of-Fame trajectory safety.
Strengths
- Six Pro Bowls (2015, 2017, 2019-2022) plus 2017 1st-team All-Pro plus 14 years at one team plus the Notre Dame 29th overall draft pedigree establishes Hall-of-Fame trajectory S résumé.
- Notre Dame ACC 29th overall draft pedigree plus 14 years of Vikings elite production gives him the rare durability-and-excellence career foundation.
Concerns
- Age 36 plus 14 years of S wear puts the late-career structural closure question on every 2026 projection.
- Minnesota's broader defensive identity around Brian Flores's exotic scheme plus the multi-year offensive transition compresses the structural support around Smith.
What to watch: Whether Smith extends through age 37 in 2026 plus holds tier 5 or better, the threshold for closing the elite Hall-of-Fame S career case.
